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Recoleta vs Guairena FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa Paraguay Estadio Gunther Vogel, San Lorenzo
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Arce Ortiz A. J.
59' Event
Gonzalez A.
75' Event
Baez W.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Recoleta
20%
Draws
40%
Guairena FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Guairena FC haven't matched Recoleta's recent run of results.
  • Recoleta are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Recoleta have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Recoleta, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Recoleta have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 20%
Guairena FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Recoleta Guairena FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.55 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 Copa Paraguay
Recoleta vs Guairena FC
3:1
Sep 14, 2024 Division Intermedia
Recoleta vs Guairena FC
1:0
Jun 10, 2024 Division Intermedia
Guairena FC vs Recoleta
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Recoleta Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baez W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Guairena FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Arce Ortiz A. J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Recoleta 85 / 100
Guairena FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Recoleta Guairena FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Recoleta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recoleta scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Guairena FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Guairena FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Recoleta VS Guairena FC
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Recoleta

(Home)
05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0
Recoleta
24 Sept
Recoleta
3 : 1
Guairena FC
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0
Recoleta
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3
Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 7

Guairena FC

(Away)
10 Oct
Guairena FC
1 : 0
Encarnacion FC
06 Oct
Deportivo Santani
1 : 0
Guairena FC
28 Sept
Guairena FC
0 : 2
Fernando de la Mora
24 Sept
Recoleta
3 : 1
Guairena FC
18 Sept
3 de Noviembre
1 : 1
Guairena FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Resistencia 0
Cerro Porteno 1
General Caballero JLM 2
Rubio Nu 3
29 de Septiembre FBC 1
San Lorenzo 2
4 de Mayo 3
Fulgencio Yegros 2
1 de Marzo Pilar 2
Atletico Tembetary 3
Sportivo Iteno 2
Guarani 1
Deportivo Humaita FBC 1
2 de Mayo 4
Sol de America 2
Sportivo Trinidense 1
Cristobal Colon FC 3
Olimpia Asuncion 5
Paraguari AC 0
Sp. Luqueno 2
Deportivo Santani 0
Recoleta 2
Guairena FC 3
12 de Octubre 2
Obrero 0
Fernando de la Mora 3
Tacuary 0
Libertad Asuncion 1
Independiente FBC 1
Sportivo Ameliano 0
Benjamin Aceval 0
Nacional Asuncion 2
1/8-finals
Cerro Porteno 2
Rubio Nu 1
San Lorenzo 2
4 de Mayo 1
Atletico Tembetary 2
Sportivo Iteno 0
2 de Mayo 0
Sol de America 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Sp. Luqueno 2
Recoleta 3
Guairena FC 1
Fernando de la Mora 1
Libertad Asuncion 2
Independiente FBC 3
Nacional Asuncion 2
Quarter-finals
Cerro Porteno -
San Lorenzo -
Atletico Tembetary -
Sol de America -
Sp. Luqueno -
Recoleta -
Libertad Asuncion -
Independiente FBC -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -