Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Recoleta vs S. Wanderers

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal Leonel Sánchez Lineros
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Recoleta play S. Wanderers in the Liga de Ascenso. It looks like a close match. Recently, Recoleta averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. S. Wanderers averaged 2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Recoleta won 2, S. Wanderers won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Feb 21, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Recoleta and 1.69 for S. Wanderers. This points to a Recoleta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Recoleta
11%
Draws
9%
S. Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Recoleta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • S. Wanderers has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Recoleta.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Recoleta.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga de Ascenso provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 13%
S. Wanderers Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Recoleta S. Wanderers
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 10 10
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.88 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
S. Wanderers vs Recoleta
0:2
Aug 23, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs S. Wanderers
1:1
Apr 18, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
S. Wanderers vs Recoleta
1:1
Jul 16, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
S. Wanderers vs Recoleta
1:1
Feb 25, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs S. Wanderers
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Recoleta 75 / 100
S. Wanderers 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Recoleta S. Wanderers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recoleta scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

S. Wanderers let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recoleta went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

S. Wanderers lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Recoleta VS S. Wanderers
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa1585230:1729
2S. Wanderers1575329:1826
3San Marcos de Arica1567219:1125
4Deportes Temuco1565426:1823
5Antofagasta1565422:1623
6San Luis1565424:2123
7D. Puerto Montt1572617:1623
8U. Espanola1564521:1922
9Magallanes1564524:2422
10Recoleta1564524:2422
11Copiapo1564521:2322
12Curico Unido1546516:2418
13San Felipe1544713:2716
14Deportes Iquique1527619:2313
15Deportes Santa Cruz1526719:2612
16Rangers15031211:283