Sport Picks
Recoleta vs S. Wanderers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal Leonel Sánchez Lineros, Recoleta 
Match Events
15'
15'
Gonzalez C.
45'
45'
Estigarribia G.
46'
46'
Sub
Dubo A. In: San Martin D.
Out: Dubo A.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Ascenso game between Recoleta and S. Wanderers finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Recoleta.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Recoleta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Recoleta haven't matched S. Wanderers's recent run of results.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Recoleta taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 68%
S. Wanderers Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Recoleta | S. Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs S. Wanderers
2:1
Feb 21, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
S. Wanderers vs Recoleta
0:2
Aug 23, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs S. Wanderers
1:1
Apr 18, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
S. Wanderers vs Recoleta
1:1
Jul 16, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
S. Wanderers vs Recoleta
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Recoleta Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Estigarribia G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
S. Wanderers Compare
Top Goalscorer Ponce C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Recoleta 86 / 100
S. Wanderers 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Recoleta S. Wanderers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Recoleta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Recoleta remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Recoleta found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
S. Wanderers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Scoring Trends
Recoleta VS S. Wanderers
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Recoleta
(Home) 03 Oct
Recoleta
2 : 1 S. Wanderers
14 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0 Recoleta
09 Sept
Recoleta
2 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
06 Sept
Antofagasta
1 : 2 Recoleta
30 Aug
Curico Unido
0 : 0 Recoleta
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Recoleta
2 : 1 S. Wanderers
09 Sept
Recoleta
2 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
27 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 3 O Higgins
22 Aug
Recoleta
2 : 1 Copiapo
12 Aug
Recoleta
4 : 2 Rangers
Page 1 of 3
S. Wanderers
(Away) 03 Oct
Recoleta
2 : 1 S. Wanderers
26 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 0 S. Wanderers
08 Sept
Deportes Temuco
3 : 0 S. Wanderers
04 Sept
S. Wanderers
1 : 0 Deportes Iquique
29 Aug
S. Wanderers
2 : 1 Magallanes
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Recoleta
2 : 1 S. Wanderers
26 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 0 S. Wanderers
08 Sept
Deportes Temuco
3 : 0 S. Wanderers
24 Aug
San Luis
0 : 1 S. Wanderers
13 Aug
Antofagasta
0 : 0 S. Wanderers
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 44:27 | 48 |
| 2 | San Luis | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 41:29 | 47 |
| 3 | S. Wanderers | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:28 | 44 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 42:38 | 43 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 44:26 | 41 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 38:34 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33:24 | 39 |
| 8 | Copiapo | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:39 | 37 |
| 9 | U. Espanola | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:34 | 36 |
| 10 | D. Puerto Montt | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 26:34 | 34 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40:36 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 35:30 | 31 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 22:39 | 24 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 27:40 | 22 |
| 15 | San Felipe | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 16:44 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23:42 | 18 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
