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Recolta Gheorghe Doja vs Gloria Baneasa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Recolta Gheorghe Doja host Gloria Baneasa in the Liga 3 - Seria 4. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recolta Gheorghe Doja have averaged 1.83 scored and 2.21 conceded recently, against Gloria Baneasa's 1.11 scored and 2.36 conceded. Past meetings favor Recolta Gheorghe Doja slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 1:5. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.63) point toward Recolta Gheorghe Doja. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
15%
Draws
17%
Gloria Baneasa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Recolta Gheorghe Doja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Recolta Gheorghe Doja lately — more wins on the board than Gloria Baneasa.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Recolta Gheorghe Doja taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Recolta Gheorghe Doja have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Recolta Gheorghe Doja Clean Sheet 14%
Gloria Baneasa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Recolta Gheorghe Doja Gloria Baneasa
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 6
Draws 1 3
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.83 1.11
Goals Conceded 2.21 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Gloria Baneasa vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja
1:5
Dec 13, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Recolta Gheorghe Doja vs Gloria Baneasa
4:2
Sep 27, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Gloria Baneasa vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja
5:2
Mar 8, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Gloria Baneasa vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja
1:3
Oct 19, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Recolta Gheorghe Doja vs Gloria Baneasa
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Recolta Gheorghe Doja 66 / 100
Gloria Baneasa 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Recolta Gheorghe Doja Gloria Baneasa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Recolta Gheorghe Doja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Recolta Gheorghe Doja scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Gloria Baneasa conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Recolta Gheorghe Doja went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Recolta Gheorghe Doja VS Gloria Baneasa
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Recolta Gheorghe Doja

(Home)
03 Oct
Axiopolis Cernavoda
3 : 1
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
26 Sept
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
2 : 1
Progresul Fundulea
23 Sept
Agricola Borcea
0 : 1
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
19 Sept
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
2 : 1
Otelul 2
11 Sept
Calarasi
0 : 3
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
Page 1 of 6

Gloria Baneasa

(Away)
03 Oct
Progresul Fundulea
2 : 1
Gloria Baneasa
26 Sept
Gloria Baneasa
1 : 3
Agricola Borcea
23 Sept
Otelul 2
1 : 2
Gloria Baneasa
19 Sept
Gloria Baneasa
0 : 2
Calarasi
11 Sept
Inainte Modelu
1 : 0
Gloria Baneasa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agricola Borcea 7 6 0 1 19:9 18
2 Inainte Modelu 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
3 Agigea 7 4 2 1 11:6 14
4 Axiopolis Cernavoda 7 4 1 2 15:12 13
5 Sporting Liesti 7 4 0 3 24:16 12
6 Progresul Fundulea 7 4 0 3 16:12 12
7 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 7 4 0 3 13:14 12
8 Calarasi 8 3 1 4 7:12 10
9 Unirea Branistea 7 3 0 4 13:12 9
10 Gloria Baneasa 7 1 1 5 5:15 4
11 Portul Constanta 7 1 0 6 11:18 3
12 Otelul 2 7 1 0 6 6:20 3
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 4 (Relegation Group)