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Recreativo Huelva vs Cacereno

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Trofeo Colombino 2025
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AI Match Summary

Recreativo Huelva play Cacereno in the Trofeo Colombino 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Recreativo Huelva averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.73 conceded. Cacereno averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Recreativo Huelva won 1, Cacereno won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Aug 17, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Recreativo Huelva and 0.88 for Cacereno. This points to a Recreativo Huelva double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Recreativo Huelva
35%
Draws
24%
Cacereno
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Recreativo Huelva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Recreativo Huelva picked up more points recently compared to Cacereno.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Recreativo Huelva Clean Sheet 25%
Cacereno Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Recreativo Huelva Cacereno
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.2 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2025 Trofeo Colombino
Recreativo Huelva vs Cacereno
2:0
Jun 11, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Recreativo Huelva vs Cacereno
1:1
Jun 4, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Cacereno vs Recreativo Huelva
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Recreativo Huelva 42 / 100
Cacereno 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Recreativo Huelva Cacereno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Recreativo Huelva or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.5%
3.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Recreativo Huelva attacking → ← attacking Cacereno

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recreativo Huelva scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Cacereno let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Recreativo Huelva went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cacereno lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 33
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38