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Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Copa del Rey Nuevo Colombino, Huelva
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa del Rey. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recreativo Huelva have averaged 1.43 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Rayo Vallecano's 1.34 scored and 1.45 conceded. Past meetings favor Recreativo Huelva slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 19, 2011, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.69 - 1.13) back Recreativo Huelva to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Recreativo Huelva
15%
Draws
27%
Rayo Vallecano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Recreativo Huelva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Recreativo Huelva come out ahead of Rayo Vallecano on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Recreativo Huelva taking it.
  • Recreativo Huelva have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Recreativo Huelva, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Recreativo Huelva Clean Sheet 20%
Rayo Vallecano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Recreativo Huelva Rayo Vallecano
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2011 LaLiga2
Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano
1:1
Oct 23, 2010 LaLiga2
Rayo Vallecano vs Recreativo Huelva
0:0
Jun 19, 2010 LaLiga2
Rayo Vallecano vs Recreativo Huelva
4:0
Jan 24, 2010 LaLiga2
Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano
2:0
May 30, 2004 LaLiga2
Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Recreativo Huelva 85 / 100
Rayo Vallecano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Recreativo Huelva Rayo Vallecano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Recreativo Huelva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Recreativo Huelva stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Recreativo Huelva found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Rayo Vallecano let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Recreativo Huelva VS Rayo Vallecano
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Recreativo Huelva

(Home)
04 Oct
Recreativo Huelva
4 : 0
Las Palmas B
30 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
2 : 1
Conil
27 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
1 : 0
Xerez CD
20 Sept
Tamaraceite
1 : 3
Recreativo Huelva
16 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
2 : 1
Cacereno
Page 1 of 6

Rayo Vallecano

(Away)
19 Sept
Osasuna
1 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
15 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 1
Espanyol
12 Sept
Real Madrid
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
05 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 2
Racing Santander
31 Aug
Barcelona
5 : 2
Rayo Vallecano
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Ribadesella CF 2
SD Noja 1
TBD -
Racing Santander -
Auriense 2
CD San Jose 1
TBD -
Dep. A Coruna -
Salamanca CF UDS -
TBD -
TBD -
Celta Vigo -
Covadonga -
TBD -
TBD -
Valladolid -
Guijuelo -
TBD -
TBD -
Gijon -
CD Laredo -
TBD -
TBD -
Burgos CF -
Numancia -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Oviedo -
Llanera -
TBD -
TBD -
Ponferradina -
Arosa SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Pontevedra -
Atletico Tordesillas -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirandes -
Gimnastica Segoviana -
TBD -
TBD -
Leonesa -
Coruxo FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Zamora -
Real Avila -
TBD -
TBD -
Unionistas de Salamanca -
Gimnastic de Torrelavega -
TBD -
TBD -
UD Ourense -
Atletico Calatayud 4
CD Baztan 1
TBD -
Osasuna -
Anaitasuna FT 10
CD Tedeon 2
TBD -
Alaves -
El Espinar Sant Rafel 1
Prat 5
TBD -
Ath Bilbao -
Sestao -
TBD -
TBD -
Espanyol -
Varea -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Andorra -
CD Cuarte -
TBD -
TBD -
Girona -
Pamplona -
TBD -
TBD -
Eibar -
Utebo FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Sabadell -
Pena -
TBD -
TBD -
Huesca -
Tudelano -
TBD -
TBD -
Zaragoza -
CE Manresa -
TBD -
TBD -
Sant Andreu -
Calamocha -
TBD -
TBD -
CE Europa -
Reus FC Reddis -
TBD -
TBD -
Barakaldo -
Amorebieta -
TBD -
TBD -
UD Logrones -
Portugalete -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Union -
Maracena 1
Tavernes 2
TBD -
Valencia -
Pinatar 11
Atletico Melilla 0
TBD -
Elche -
Talayuela 1
Sporting de Alcazar CF 3
TBD -
Malaga -
CD Tarancon -
TBD -
TBD -
Levante -
Manacor -
TBD -
TBD -
Villarreal -
Castellonense -
TBD -
TBD -
Almeria -
Alcoyano -
TBD -
TBD -
Mallorca -
Conquense -
TBD -
TBD -
Castellon -
UD Poblense -
TBD -
TBD -
AD Ceuta -
Puertollano C.F. -
TBD -
TBD -
Albacete -
Ciudad Cieza -
TBD -
TBD -
Granada CF -
Baleares -
TBD -
TBD -
Eldense -
Deportiva Minera -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Cartagena SAD -
Mijas Las Lagunas -
TBD -
TBD -
Jaen -
Antequera -
TBD -
TBD -
Aguilas FC -
Lebrijana 7
Ceuta 6 de Junio 1
TBD -
Getafe -
Hortaleza 1
Atletico Union Guimar 0
TBD -
Sevilla -
Recreativo Huelva -
TBD -
TBD -
Rayo Vallecano -
Navalcarnero -
TBD -
TBD -
Betis -
Trival Valderas -
TBD -
TBD -
Leganes -
RSD Alcala -
TBD -
TBD -
Las Palmas -
CD Badajoz -
TBD -
TBD -
Tenerife -
Xerez CD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cadiz -
Atletico Paso -
TBD -
TBD -
Cordoba -
San Sebastian Reyes -
TBD -
TBD -
CD Coria -
Don Benito -
TBD -
TBD -
CD Extremadura -
Ciudad de Lucena -
TBD -
TBD -
Rayo Majadahonda -
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1/64-finals
Ribadesella CF -
Racing Santander -
Auriense -
Dep. A Coruna -
Salamanca CF UDS -
Celta Vigo -
Covadonga -
Valladolid -
Guijuelo -
Gijon -
CD Laredo -
Burgos CF -
Numancia -
Real Oviedo -
Llanera -
Ponferradina -
Arosa SC -
Pontevedra -
Atletico Tordesillas -
Mirandes -
Gimnastica Segoviana -
Leonesa -
Coruxo FC -
Zamora -
Real Avila -
Unionistas de Salamanca -
Gimnastic de Torrelavega -
UD Ourense -
Atletico Calatayud -
Osasuna -
Anaitasuna FT -
Alaves -
TBD -
Ath Bilbao -
Sestao -
Espanyol -
Varea -
FC Andorra -
CD Cuarte -
Girona -
Pamplona -
Eibar -
Utebo FC -
Sabadell -
Pena -
Huesca -
Tudelano -
Zaragoza -
CE Manresa -
Sant Andreu -
Calamocha -
CE Europa -
Reus FC Reddis -
Barakaldo -
Amorebieta -
UD Logrones -
Portugalete -
Real Union -
Tavernes -
Valencia -
Pinatar -
Elche -
Sporting de Alcazar CF -
Malaga -
CD Tarancon -
Levante -
Manacor -
Villarreal -
Castellonense -
Almeria -
Alcoyano -
Mallorca -
Conquense -
Castellon -
UD Poblense -
AD Ceuta -
Puertollano C.F. -
Albacete -
Ciudad Cieza -
Granada CF -
Baleares -
Eldense -
Deportiva Minera -
FC Cartagena SAD -
Mijas Las Lagunas -
Jaen -
Antequera -
Aguilas FC -
Lebrijana -
Getafe -
TBD -
Sevilla -
Recreativo Huelva -
Rayo Vallecano -
Navalcarnero -
Betis -
Trival Valderas -
Leganes -
RSD Alcala -
Las Palmas -
CD Badajoz -
Tenerife -
Xerez CD -
Cadiz -
Atletico Paso -
Cordoba -
San Sebastian Reyes -
CD Coria -
Don Benito -
CD Extremadura -
Ciudad de Lucena -
Rayo Majadahonda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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1/32-finals
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1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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