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Red Arrows vs Chambishi

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Chamanga J.
24' Event
Kangwanda A.
56' Event
Katema P.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2022/2023 game between Red Arrows and Chambishi finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Red Arrows.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Red Arrows
20%
Draws
23%
Chambishi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Red Arrows

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Red Arrows come out ahead of Chambishi on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Red Arrows's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Red Arrows have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Red Arrows Clean Sheet 68%
Chambishi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Red Arrows Chambishi
Matches Played 43 30
Wins 25 9
Draws 12 5
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.42 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.56 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2023 Super League
Red Arrows vs Chambishi
5:1
Oct 15, 2022 Super League
Chambishi vs Red Arrows
0:3
Apr 24, 2022 Super League
Red Arrows vs Chambishi
4:1
Dec 12, 2021 Super League
Chambishi vs Red Arrows
0:2
Oct 18, 2009 Super League
Chambishi vs Red Arrows
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Red Arrows Compare

Top Goalscorer Chamanga J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kangwanda A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Chambishi Compare

Top Goalscorer Sikanyika W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Red Arrows 95 / 100
Chambishi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Red Arrows Chambishi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Red Arrows Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chambishi let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Red Arrows scored in 74% of their last 43 games.

Solid form: Red Arrows remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Red Arrows VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Red Arrows

(Home)
21 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Red Arrows
20 Aug
Red Arrows
0 : 1
Power Dynamos
22 May
Red Arrows
2 : 0
Green Buffaloes FC
17 May
Mufulira Wanderers
0 : 0
Red Arrows
14 May
Red Arrows
2 : 1
Green Eagles
Page 1 of 9

Chambishi

(Away)
03 Jun
Chambishi
4 : 2
Buildcon
13 May
Kabwe
3 : 1
Chambishi
06 May
Chambishi
0 : 2
Kansanshi
30 Apr
Zesco
3 : 0
Chambishi
23 Apr
Chambishi
0 : 0
NAPSA Stars
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Power Dynamos 34 17 14 3 48:19 65
2 Muza Fc 34 17 8 9 43:28 59
3 Zesco 34 15 10 9 46:27 55
4 Green Buffaloes FC 34 13 16 5 41:29 55
5 NAPSA Stars 34 13 12 9 40:26 51
6 Red Arrows 34 12 14 8 44:36 50
7 Green Eagles 34 14 8 12 36:34 50
8 Forest Rangers 34 11 15 8 30:24 48
9 Nkana 34 12 12 10 32:27 48
10 Kansanshi 34 12 12 10 33:31 48
11 Kabwe 34 10 16 8 37:27 46
12 Prison Leopards 34 10 15 9 35:36 45
13 Zanaco 34 10 11 13 32:32 41
14 Nkwazi 34 9 12 13 30:33 39
15 Nchanga Rangers 34 8 13 13 32:43 37
16 Lumwana Radiants 34 7 13 14 32:40 34
17 Chambishi 34 9 5 20 34:60 32
18 Buildcon 34 2 4 28 16:89 10
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2023/2024 (Main)