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Red Arrows vs Forest Rangers

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Ngwenya G.

AI Match Summary

Red Arrows in this Super League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Red Arrows.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Red Arrows
30%
Draws
27%
Forest Rangers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Red Arrows

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Red Arrows lately — more wins on the board than Forest Rangers.
  • Win probability leans Red Arrows's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Super League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Red Arrows Clean Sheet 68%
Forest Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Red Arrows Forest Rangers
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 6
Draws 9 14
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.22 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.44 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Super League
Forest Rangers vs Red Arrows
0:1
Dec 15, 2024 Super League
Red Arrows vs Forest Rangers
1:0
Jan 13, 2024 Super League
Red Arrows vs Forest Rangers
2:0
Sep 3, 2023 Super League
Forest Rangers vs Red Arrows
0:0
Apr 1, 2023 Super League
Forest Rangers vs Red Arrows
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Red Arrows Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngwenya G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Forest Rangers Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Red Arrows 59 / 100
Forest Rangers 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Red Arrows Forest Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Red Arrows Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Red Arrows has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Red Arrows scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Forest Rangers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Red Arrows VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Red Arrows

(Home)
20 Sept
Power Dynamos
0 : 1
Red Arrows
13 Sept
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra
0 : 2
Red Arrows
05 Sept
Red Arrows
2 : 0
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra
22 Aug
Zesco
0 : 0
Red Arrows
21 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Red Arrows
Page 1 of 7

Forest Rangers

(Away)
17 May
Indeni
1 : 3
Forest Rangers
03 May
Forest Rangers
0 : 1
Red Arrows
19 Apr
Mufulira Wanderers
0 : 1
Forest Rangers
09 Apr
Forest Rangers
0 : 0
Nchanga Rangers
02 Apr
Green Eagles
1 : 1
Forest Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Power Dynamos 34 20 8 6 54:22 68
2 Zesco 34 17 12 5 34:20 63
3 Nkana 34 16 10 8 48:29 58
4 Red Arrows 34 15 11 8 32:24 56
5 Kabwe 34 13 12 9 38:27 51
6 Nkwazi 34 12 14 8 31:26 50
7 Green Buffaloes FC 34 11 12 11 34:35 45
8 Mufulira Wanderers 34 13 6 15 30:31 45
9 NAPSA Stars 34 9 17 8 24:22 44
10 Muza Fc 34 11 11 12 33:34 44
11 Nchanga Rangers 34 9 15 10 29:28 42
12 Green Eagles 34 9 14 11 32:34 41
13 Mutondo Stars 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
14 Zanaco 34 9 12 13 34:41 39
15 Atletico Lusaka 34 10 9 15 27:46 39
16 Forest Rangers 34 7 17 10 31:34 38
17 Lumwana Radiants 34 10 7 17 21:36 37
18 Indeni 34 3 6 25 20:55 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Main)
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