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Red Arrows vs Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Mandanji E.
57' Event
Diarra A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Red Arrows
25%
Draws
35%
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Red Arrows

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Red Arrows carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Red Arrows are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Red Arrows have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Red Arrows, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Red Arrows Clean Sheet 68%
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Red Arrows Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra
Matches Played 27 2
Wins 15 0
Draws 8 0
Losses 4 2
Goals Scored 1.33 0
Goals Conceded 0.48 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra vs Red Arrows
0:2
Sep 5, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Red Arrows vs Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Red Arrows Compare

Top Goalscorer Mandanji E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diarra A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Red Arrows 95 / 100
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Red Arrows Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Red Arrows Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra has conceded goals in 100% of their last 2 outings.

Recent resilience: Red Arrows stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Red Arrows's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Red Arrows VS Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Red Arrows

(Home)
10 Oct
Red Arrows
0 : 0
Mufulira Wanderers
04 Oct
Mutondo Stars
1 : 3
Red Arrows
20 Sept
Power Dynamos
0 : 1
Red Arrows
13 Sept
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra
0 : 2
Red Arrows
05 Sept
Red Arrows
2 : 0
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra
Page 1 of 6

Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra

(Away)
13 Sept
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra
0 : 2
Red Arrows
05 Sept
Red Arrows
2 : 0
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mogadishu City 1
Kitara 4
TBD -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC 5
ASAS 1
TBD -
Azam -
Hilal Alsahil 3
Welwalo Adigrat 4
KMKM 0
Al Ahly Tripoli 7
Madani 2
Tusker 3
Al-Ghazala 1
Singida Black Stars 10
Panthers 5
ASPAC 5
TBD -
USM Alger -
AS Psi 2
Korhogo 4
TBD -
FAR Rabat -
Douane 3
Hafia 2
TBD -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors 3
UDIB 1
TBD -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD 3
East End Lions 3
Shooting 1
CS Sfaxien 2
Zarzis 3
Diambars de Saly 2
Vitesse 1
Real Bamako 2
Diarra 2
Nations FC 1
AS ZAM 0
ASKO Kara 6
UNAM 1
Kabuscorp 5
TBD -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows 4
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra 0
TBD -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City 3
Rukinzo 1
Port Louis 2
Jwaneng Galaxy 1
Panthere 1
Rayon Sport 1
Atomic Ngome 0
Associacao Black Bulls 1
Virunga 1
Bazar Brothers 0
Green Mamba 0
Primeiro de Agosto 4
Final
Kitara -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC -
Azam -
Welwalo Adigrat -
Al Ahly Tripoli -
Tusker -
Singida Black Stars -
Panthers -
USM Alger -
Korhogo -
FAR Rabat -
Douane -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD -
CS Sfaxien -
Zarzis -
Real Bamako -
Diarra -
ASKO Kara -
Kabuscorp -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City -
Port Louis -
Rayon Sport -
Associacao Black Bulls -
Virunga -
Primeiro de Agosto -