Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Red Force vs South Florida Surf

USA USA

US Open Cup 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Gonzales M.
40' Event
Ruiz A.
54' Event
Michaud J.

AI Match Summary

South Florida Surf in this US Open Cup 2017 tie, finishing 2-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Red Force
25%
Draws
35%
South Florida Surf
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Red Force

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: South Florida Surf at 3 per game, Red Force at 1.17.
  • South Florida Surf are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor South Florida Surf, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 100%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 100%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Red Force Clean Sheet 10%
South Florida Surf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Red Force South Florida Surf
Matches Played 6 2
Wins 1 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 1
Goals Scored 1.17 3
Goals Conceded 3 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.83 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2017 US Open Cup
Red Force vs South Florida Surf
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Red Force Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salinas S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.92

South Florida Surf Compare

Top Goalscorer Michaud J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzales M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Red Force 10 / 100
South Florida Surf 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Red Force South Florida Surf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Florida Surf Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Florida Surf let in goals in 100% of their last 2 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Red Force's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

Solid form: Red Force remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Red Force VS South Florida Surf
1.17 Goals Scored 3
3 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Red Force

(Home)
18 Mar
FC Naples
3 : 0
Red Force
09 May
Miami FC 2
4 : 0
Red Force
10 May
Red Force
2 : 4
South Florida Surf
15 May
Laredo Heat
2 : 1
Red Force
08 May
Colorado Rovers
1 : 2
Red Force
Page 1 of 2

South Florida Surf

(Away)
17 May
Miami FC
3 : 2
South Florida Surf
10 May
Red Force
2 : 4
South Florida Surf

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Phoenix Rising -
TBD -
La Maquina 1
Fuego 4
Burlingame 1
El Farolito 0
TBD -
San Francisco Deltas -
Portland Timbers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Seattle Sounders -
Los Angeles Galaxy -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
L.A. Wolves 4
San Diego Zest 2
Albion San Diego 2
Chula Vista 3
Golden State Force 2
Outbreak 0
TBD -
Orange County SC -
Real Salt Lake -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reno 1868 -
TBD -
Seattle Sounders U23 0
OSA FC 1
Anahuac 2
Sonoma County 1
TBD -
Sacramento Republic -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence -
TBD -
Chattanooga 0
Charlotte Eagles 2
North Carolina Fusion U23 2
Virginia Legacy 1
TBD -
North Carolina FC -
Minnesota United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
FC Dallas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Antonio FC -
TBD -
NTX Rayados 1
Houston Dutch Lions 3
Oklahoma City Energy FC U23 2
Tulsa Athletic 1
TBD -
FC Tulsa -
Oklahoma City Energy FC -
TBD -
Ventura 1
Moreno Valley 2
Tucson 3
Flatirons 1
TBD -
Colorado Springs -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Colorado Rapids -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GPS Omens 2
Portland Phoenix 0
Western Pioneers 2
Boston City 3
Motown 2
New Jersey Copa 1
TBD -
Rochester New York -
Christos 3
Fredericksburg 0
TBD -
Richmond Kickers -
Pittsburgh Riverhounds -
TBD -
Grand Rapids 0
Chicago United 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
DC United -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New York City -
Penn Football Club -
TBD -
Philadelphia Lone Star 1
Ocean City 3
New York Cosmos -
TBD -
Clarkstown 0
Reading 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Philadelphia Union -
Miami FC -
TBD -
Red Force 2
South Florida Surf 4
Jacksonville Armada U23 2
Brave SC 1
TBD -
Tampa Bay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orlando City -
Charleston -
TBD -
South Carolina United Bantams 1
Atlanta SC 4
Miami United 2
Boca Raton 1
TBD -
Jacksonville Armada -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atlanta United -
FC Cincinnati -
TBD -
Menace 1
AFC Cleveland 3
Tartan Devils Oak Avalon 2
Derby City Rovers 1
TBD -
Louisville City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
St. Louis FC -
TBD -
Azteca 0
FC Wichita 1
Indy Eleven -
TBD -
Ann Arbor 0
Michigan Bucks 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chicago Fire -
1/64-finals
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Phoenix Rising 3
Fuego 1
Burlingame 1
San Francisco Deltas 2
Portland Timbers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Seattle Sounders -
Los Angeles Galaxy -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
L.A. Wolves 1
Chula Vista 0
Golden State Force 2
Orange County SC 5
Real Salt Lake -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reno 1868 2
OSA FC 1
Anahuac 0
Sacramento Republic 4
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 3
Charlotte Eagles 2
North Carolina Fusion U23 1
North Carolina FC 6
Minnesota United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
FC Dallas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Antonio FC 2
Houston Dutch Lions 1
Oklahoma City Energy FC U23 3
FC Tulsa 5
Oklahoma City Energy FC 5
Moreno Valley 1
Tucson 0
Colorado Springs 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Colorado Rapids -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GPS Omens 2
Boston City 1
Motown 0
Rochester New York 3
Christos 1
Richmond Kickers 0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1
Chicago United 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
DC United -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New York City -
Penn Football Club 1
Ocean City 0
New York Cosmos 2
Reading 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Philadelphia Union -
Miami FC 3
South Florida Surf 2
Jacksonville Armada U23 0
Tampa Bay 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orlando City -
Charleston 2
Atlanta SC 1
Miami United 1
Jacksonville Armada 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atlanta United -
FC Cincinnati 1
AFC Cleveland 0
Tartan Devils Oak Avalon 0
Louisville City 9
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
St. Louis FC 4
FC Wichita 3
Indy Eleven 0
Michigan Bucks 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chicago Fire -
1/32-finals
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
Phoenix Rising 1
San Francisco Deltas 2
Portland Timbers -
TBD -
TBD -
Seattle Sounders -
Los Angeles Galaxy -
TBD -
L.A. Wolves 0
Orange County SC 1
Real Salt Lake -
TBD -
Reno 1868 0
Sacramento Republic 2
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 1
North Carolina FC 4
Minnesota United -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
FC Dallas -
TBD -
San Antonio FC 0
FC Tulsa 1
Oklahoma City Energy FC 2
Colorado Springs 1
TBD -
Colorado Rapids -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
GPS Omens 1
Rochester New York 2
Christos 1
Chicago United 0
TBD -
DC United -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
TBD -
New York City -
Penn Football Club 3
Reading 0
TBD -
Philadelphia Union -
Miami FC 2
Tampa Bay 0
TBD -
Orlando City -
Charleston 1
Jacksonville Armada 0
TBD -
Atlanta United -
FC Cincinnati 1
Louisville City 0
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
St. Louis FC 2
Michigan Bucks 1
TBD -
Chicago Fire -
1/16-finals
San Jose Earthquakes 2
San Francisco Deltas 0
Portland Timbers 1
Seattle Sounders 2
Los Angeles Galaxy 3
Orange County SC 1
Real Salt Lake 1
Sacramento Republic 4
Houston Dynamo 3
North Carolina FC 2
Minnesota United 0
Sporting Kansas City 4
FC Dallas 2
FC Tulsa 1
Oklahoma City Energy FC 2
Colorado Rapids 3
New England Revolution 3
Rochester New York 0
Christos 1
DC United 4
New York Red Bulls 1
New York City 0
Penn Football Club 1
Philadelphia Union 3
Miami FC 3
Orlando City 1
Charleston 2
Atlanta United 3
FC Cincinnati 1
Columbus Crew 0
St. Louis FC 0
Chicago Fire 1
1/8-finals
San Jose Earthquakes 2
Seattle Sounders 1
Los Angeles Galaxy 2
Sacramento Republic 0
Houston Dynamo 0
Sporting Kansas City 2
FC Dallas 3
Colorado Rapids 1
New England Revolution 2
DC United 1
New York Red Bulls 2
Philadelphia Union 1
Miami FC 3
Atlanta United 2
FC Cincinnati 1
Chicago Fire 0
Quarter-finals
San Jose Earthquakes 3
Los Angeles Galaxy 2
Sporting Kansas City 3
FC Dallas 0
New England Revolution 0
New York Red Bulls 1
Miami FC 0
FC Cincinnati 1
Semi-finals
San Jose Earthquakes 1
Sporting Kansas City 2
New York Red Bulls 3
FC Cincinnati 2
Final
Sporting Kansas City 2
New York Red Bulls 1