Sport Picks
Match Events
55'
55'
Mwaungulu P.
74'
74'
Mkutu D.
AI Match Summary
The Super League 2023 game between Red Lions and Big Bullets finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Big Bullets
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Big Bullets carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Big Bullets a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular Super League 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Red Lions Clean Sheet 20%
Big Bullets Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Red Lions | Big Bullets |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 17 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 0.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.51 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Super League
Big Bullets vs Red Lions
0:0
Nov 8, 2023 Super League
Red Lions vs Big Bullets
1:1
May 28, 2023 Super League
Big Bullets vs Red Lions
4:0
Sep 28, 2022 Super League
Big Bullets vs Red Lions
3:1
May 14, 2022 Super League
Red Lions vs Big Bullets
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Red Lions Compare
Top Goalscorer Mkutu D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26
Big Bullets Compare
Top Goalscorer Mwaungulu P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Red Lions 10 / 100
Big Bullets 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Red Lions Big Bullets
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Big Bullets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Red Lions stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Red Lions's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Big Bullets's defensive record shows goals conceded in 42% of 31 matches.
Scoring Trends
Red Lions VS Big Bullets
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Red Lions
(Home) 05 Sept
Red Lions
0 : 0 Masters FC
22 Aug
Mighty Wanderers FC
2 : 1 Red Lions
15 Aug
Red Lions
1 : 0 Moyale Barracks
09 Aug
Red Lions
0 : 0 Kamuzu Barracks
25 Jul
Blue Eagles
3 : 2 Red Lions
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Red Lions
0 : 0 Masters FC
15 Aug
Red Lions
1 : 0 Moyale Barracks
09 Aug
Red Lions
0 : 0 Kamuzu Barracks
05 Jul
Red Lions
1 : 0 Civo Utd
21 Jun
Red Lions
1 : 0 Chitipa United
Page 1 of 4
Big Bullets
(Away) 05 Sept
Big Bullets
5 : 0 Silver Strikers
23 Aug
Mitundu Baptist
0 : 0 Big Bullets
16 Aug
Karonga United
0 : 1 Big Bullets
09 Aug
Big Bullets
2 : 0 Chitipa United
25 Jul
Dedza Dynamos
1 : 0 Big Bullets
Page 1 of 7
23 Aug
Mitundu Baptist
0 : 0 Big Bullets
16 Aug
Karonga United
0 : 1 Big Bullets
25 Jul
Dedza Dynamos
1 : 0 Big Bullets
19 Jul
Ekhaya
0 : 0 Big Bullets
21 Jun
Kamuzu Barracks
1 : 2 Big Bullets
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Big Bullets | 30 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 49:19 | 60 |
| 2 | Silver Strikers | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 41:18 | 57 |
| 3 | Mighty Wanderers FC | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 35:16 | 55 |
| 4 | Chitipa United | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 31:29 | 48 |
| 5 | Kamuzu Barracks | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 32:23 | 46 |
| 6 | Bangwe All Stars | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 37:36 | 42 |
| 7 | Dedza Dynamos | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 30:38 | 38 |
| 8 | Civo Utd | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 31:30 | 37 |
| 9 | Karonga United | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 34:38 | 37 |
| 10 | MAFCO | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 29:36 | 37 |
| 11 | Mighty Tigers | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 21:22 | 36 |
| 12 | Mzuzu City | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 26:36 | 36 |
| 13 | Moyale Barracks | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 32:32 | 35 |
| 14 | Blue Eagles | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 32:32 | 35 |
| 15 | Red Lions | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 22:50 | 29 |
| 16 | Extreme FC | 30 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 16:43 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
