Sport Picks
Red Star Merl/Belair vs Berdenia Berbourg
Luxembourg
Luxembourg Cup 2023/2024 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-0, with Red Star Merl/Belair advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Berdenia Berbourg come out ahead of Red Star Merl/Belair on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Berdenia Berbourg arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Red Star Merl/Belair, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Red Star Merl/Belair Clean Sheet 11%
Berdenia Berbourg Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Red Star Merl/Belair | Berdenia Berbourg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 7 | 18 |
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 5 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 1, 2023 Luxembourg Cup
Red Star Merl/Belair vs Berdenia Berbourg
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Red Star Merl/Belair 29 / 100
Berdenia Berbourg 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Red Star Merl/Belair Berdenia Berbourg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RSM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Berdenia Berbourg has conceded goals in 83% of their last 18 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Difficult form: Berdenia Berbourg registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Red Star Merl/Belair scored in 43% of their last 7 games.
Scoring Trends
Red Star Merl/Belair VS Berdenia Berbourg
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 2
80% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 75%
40% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Red Star Merl/Belair
(Home) 29 Oct
Red Star Merl/Belair
2 : 3 Hesperange
01 Oct
Red Star Merl/Belair
3 : 0 Berdenia Berbourg
02 Oct
Red Star Merl/Belair
0 : 1 Blo Weiss Medernach
22 Sept
Red Star Merl/Belair
0 : 4 Mondorf
18 Sept
Red Star Merl/Belair
0 : 2 Mondercange
Page 1 of 2
29 Oct
Red Star Merl/Belair
2 : 3 Hesperange
01 Oct
Red Star Merl/Belair
3 : 0 Berdenia Berbourg
02 Oct
Red Star Merl/Belair
0 : 1 Blo Weiss Medernach
22 Sept
Red Star Merl/Belair
0 : 4 Mondorf
18 Sept
Red Star Merl/Belair
0 : 2 Mondercange
Page 1 of 2
Berdenia Berbourg
(Away) 09 Nov
Berdenia Berbourg
0 : 2 Mondorf
21 Sept
FC Kopstal 33
1 : 2 Berdenia Berbourg
05 Oct
FC Orania Vianden
4 : 3 Berdenia Berbourg
01 Oct
Red Star Merl/Belair
3 : 0 Berdenia Berbourg
12 Apr
Berdenia Berbourg
0 : 4 Racing Luxembourg
Page 1 of 4
21 Sept
FC Kopstal 33
1 : 2 Berdenia Berbourg
05 Oct
FC Orania Vianden
4 : 3 Berdenia Berbourg
01 Oct
Red Star Merl/Belair
3 : 0 Berdenia Berbourg
21 Jan
Fola
2 : 0 Berdenia Berbourg
30 Oct
US Feulen
1 : 2 Berdenia Berbourg
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
FC Kopstal 330
Grevenmacher2
Diekirch0
FC Yellow Boys Weiler4
US Sandweiler1
Jeunesse Canach2
Jeunesse Junglinster0
Wiltz4
FF Norden1
Victoria Rosport0
Oberkorn1
Lorentzweiler4
Olympia Christnach/Waldbillig0
UNA Strassen5
FC 47 Bastendorf0
Fola1
US Berdorf Consdorf3
Rumelange4
Blo Weiss Itzig0
FC Marisca Mersch4
Mertzig1
FC Mamer4
FC Schengen1
Jeunesse Esch5
Kehlen2
FC Rodange 913
Steinfort0
Bettembourg1
Red Star Merl/Belair3
Berdenia Berbourg0
The Belval Belvaux0
Hesperange3
Lintgen1
Hostert3
Bissen3
Union Titus Petange5
ALSS Luxembourg2
Avenir Beggen1
CS Sanem1
Racing Luxembourg3
Union Remich/Bous0
Schifflange4
Jeunesse Schieren0
Kaerjeng5
Erpeldange1
Blo Weiss Medernach0
Gasperich0
Mondorf4
Racing Troisvierges1
Alisontia Steinsel7
FC Orania Vianden0
Ettelbruck2
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler0
FC Residence Walferdange3
Racing Heiderscheid/Eschdorf0
Progres Niedercorn11
FC Koerich/Simmern1
Koeppchen3
Jeunesse Useldange1
Mondercange3
US Feulen0
Dudelange4
Luxembourg City1
Differdange3
1/16-finals
Grevenmacher2
FC Yellow Boys Weiler4
Jeunesse Canach4
Wiltz3
FF Norden1
Lorentzweiler0
UNA Strassen4
Fola3
Rumelange4
FC Marisca Mersch0
FC Mamer1
Jeunesse Esch2
FC Rodange 913
Bettembourg4
Red Star Merl/Belair2
Hesperange3
Hostert2
Union Titus Petange1
ALSS Luxembourg0
Racing Luxembourg3
Schifflange3
Kaerjeng2
Erpeldange1
Mondorf8
Alisontia Steinsel5
Ettelbruck1
FC Residence Walferdange3
Progres Niedercorn5
Koeppchen2
Mondercange5
Dudelange0
Differdange2
1/8-finals
FC Yellow Boys Weiler3
Jeunesse Canach2
FF Norden1
UNA Strassen2
Rumelange0
Jeunesse Esch5
Bettembourg2
Hesperange3
Hostert1
Racing Luxembourg0
Schifflange1
Mondorf2
Alisontia Steinsel1
Progres Niedercorn3
Mondercange0
Differdange3
Quarter-finals
FC Yellow Boys Weiler0
UNA Strassen2
Jeunesse Esch0
Hesperange2
Hostert1
Mondorf2
Progres Niedercorn2
Differdange0
Semi-finals
UNA Strassen0
Hesperange2
Mondorf0
Progres Niedercorn2
Final
Hesperange1
Progres Niedercorn2