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Red Star Merl/Belair vs FC Mamer - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup
Red Star Merl/Belair Logo

Red Star Merl/Belair

0 - 4
FT
FC Mamer Logo

FC Mamer

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. This leg finished 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Red Star Merl/Belair
15%
Draws
57%
FC Mamer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Mamer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • FC Mamer have won more games recently than Red Star Merl/Belair.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • FC Mamer arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Mamer, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Red Star Merl/Belair Clean Sheet 10%
FC Mamer Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Red Star Merl/Belair FC Mamer
Matches Played 8 37
Wins 2 13
Draws 0 6
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 0.88 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Luxembourg Cup
Red Star Merl/Belair vs FC Mamer
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Red Star Merl/Belair 30 / 100
FC Mamer 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Red Star Merl/Belair FC Mamer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

FC Mamer has conceded goals in 78% of their last 37 outings.

Away concern: FC Mamer has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Red Star Merl/Belair's goal record stands at 38% scoring rate across 8 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Red Star Merl/Belair VS FC Mamer
0 Goals Scored 1
4 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Red Star Merl/Belair

(Home)
20 Sept
Red Star Merl/Belair
0 : 4
FC Mamer
29 Oct
Red Star Merl/Belair
2 : 3
Hesperange
01 Oct
Red Star Merl/Belair
3 : 0
Berdenia Berbourg
02 Oct
Red Star Merl/Belair
0 : 1
Blo Weiss Medernach
22 Sept
Red Star Merl/Belair
0 : 4
Mondorf
Page 1 of 2

FC Mamer

(Away)
20 Sept
Red Star Merl/Belair
0 : 4
FC Mamer
26 Jul
FC Rodange 91
4 : 0
FC Mamer
22 Jul
Dudelange
2 : 0
FC Mamer
21 Jul
FC Mamer
2 : 1
Harlange/Tarchamps
19 Jul
FC Mamer
1 : 2
Ettelbruck
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
US Folschette 1
Mondercange 4
Diekirch 1
Dudelange 3
Pratzerthal/Redange 1
Rumelange 9
AS Hosingen 0
Racing Luxembourg 6
Echternach 2
Hesperange 1
Grevenmacher 3
FC Residence Walferdange 2
US Moutfort/Medingen 1
The Belval Belvaux 4
FC Schengen 0
Ettelbruck 1
CS Sanem 1
Victoria Rosport 3
Syra Mensdorf 1
Kaerjeng 9
Sporting Bertrange 3
FC Marisca Mersch 2
Alisontia Steinsel 1
Hostert 2
Red Star Merl/Belair 0
FC Mamer 4
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz 1
Mondorf 10
FC Koerich/Simmern 0
Luxembourg City 1
SC Ell 1
Jeunesse Canach 4
Alliance Aischdall 0
Berdenia Berbourg 7
FC 47 Bastendorf 0
Jeunesse Esch 1
FC Kopstal 33 0
Progres Niedercorn 7
US Sandweiler 2
Wiltz 6
Lintgen 3
Fola 0
Jeunesse Junglinster 1
Bettembourg 2
Les Aiglons Dalheim 0
Union Titus Petange 8
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 1
Union Remich/Bous 4
Les Ardoisiers Perle 0
Avenir Beggen 7
Esch 0
UNA Strassen 8
Erpeldange 3
Lorentzweiler 4
US Boevange/Attert 1
US Feulen 3
ALSS Luxembourg 1
Bissen 3
Jeunesse Useldange 1
Differdange 5
Jeunesse Schieren 0
FC Rodange 91 1
Jeunesse Biwer 1
Koeppchen 3
1/16-finals
Mondercange -
Dudelange -
Rumelange -
Racing Luxembourg -
Echternach -
Grevenmacher -
The Belval Belvaux -
Ettelbruck -
Victoria Rosport -
Kaerjeng -
Sporting Bertrange -
Hostert -
FC Mamer -
Mondorf -
Luxembourg City -
Jeunesse Canach -
Berdenia Berbourg -
Jeunesse Esch -
Progres Niedercorn -
Wiltz -
Lintgen -
Bettembourg -
Union Titus Petange -
Union Remich/Bous -
Avenir Beggen -
UNA Strassen -
Lorentzweiler -
US Feulen -
Bissen -
Differdange -
FC Rodange 91 -
Koeppchen -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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