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Red Star vs Rodez

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade Bauer
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Cabral K.
Assist: Durand D.
29' Event
Balde I.
Assist: Arconte T.
61' Event
Escartin J.
Assist: Cabral K.

AI Match Summary

Rodez in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rodez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Red Star
30%
Draws
34%
Rodez
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Red Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Rodez have won more games recently than Red Star.
  • Red Star are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Red Star Clean Sheet 10%
Rodez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Red Star Rodez
Matches Played 26 25
Wins 10 14
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 2
Goals Scored 1.88 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Ligue 1
Red Star vs Rodez
2:3
Jan 30, 2026 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Red Star
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Ligue 2
Red Star vs Rodez
1:1
Mar 28, 2025 Ligue 2
Red Star vs Rodez
1:1
Jan 3, 2025 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Red Star
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Red Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabral K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Escartin J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Rodez Compare

Top Goalscorer Balde I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Magnin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Red Star 34 / 100
Rodez 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Red Star Rodez

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodez let in goals in 84% of their last 25 matches.

Attacking prowess: Red Star scored in 65% of their last 26 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Red Star has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Red Star VS Rodez
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Nice-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
St Etienne-
TBD-
Red Star2
Rodez3
Semi-finals
Nice-
TBD-
St Etienne1
Rodez0
Final
Nice4
St Etienne1