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Red Star vs Sochaux - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Bauer, Paris - Saint-Ouen
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Match Events

27'
Sub
Lobry V. In: Baghdadi S.
Out: Lobry V.
46'
Sub
Gomel B. In: Gomis D.
Out: Gomel B.
60'
Huard M.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 game between Red Star and Sochaux finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Red Star
20%
Draws
32%
Sochaux
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Red Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Red Star carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Red Star taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Red Star Clean Sheet 68%
Sochaux Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Red Star Sochaux
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 12
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.45 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Ligue 2
Red Star vs Sochaux
0:0
Aug 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Sochaux vs Red Star
1:2
Feb 2, 2024 Ligue 3
Sochaux vs Red Star
2:2
Aug 25, 2023 Ligue 3
Red Star vs Sochaux
2:0
May 3, 2019 Ligue 2
Sochaux vs Red Star
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Red Star 59 / 100
Sochaux 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Red Star Sochaux

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Red Star Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Red Star scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Sochaux conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Red Star went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Red Star VS Sochaux
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Red Star

(Home)
17 Oct
Red Star
0 : 1
St Etienne
10 Oct
Clermont
2 : 3
Red Star
19 Sept
Guingamp
1 : 3
Red Star
14 Sept
Red Star
1 : 0
Metz
04 Sept
Laval
1 : 2
Red Star
Page 1 of 6

Sochaux

(Away)
17 Oct
Metz
3 : 2
Sochaux
09 Oct
Sochaux
1 : 1
Boulogne
02 Oct
Sochaux
2 : 1
Xamax
18 Sept
Laval
1 : 1
Sochaux
12 Sept
Sochaux
1 : 0
Nantes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 9 7 1 1 22:8 22
2 Montpellier 9 5 3 1 11:5 18
3 Reims 9 4 5 0 19:11 17
4 Red Star 9 5 2 2 12:10 17
5 Nancy 9 5 1 3 11:8 16
6 Pau 9 4 2 3 11:9 14
7 Metz 9 3 4 2 15:13 13
8 Annecy 9 4 1 4 11:11 13
9 Dijon 9 3 3 3 16:16 12
10 Dunkerque 9 3 2 4 13:15 11
11 Sochaux 9 2 5 2 7:9 11
12 Boulogne 9 1 6 2 6:6 9
13 Guingamp 9 2 2 5 11:15 8
14 Nantes 9 2 2 5 11:16 8
15 Grenoble 9 2 2 5 8:15 8
16 Clermont 9 0 7 2 9:12 7
17 Rodez 9 2 1 6 14:21 7
18 Laval 9 1 3 5 13:20 6
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)