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Red Star vs UP Country Lions

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Razeek A.
51' Event
Razeek A.
59' Event
Razeek A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

UP Country Lions in this Super League 2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored UP Country Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Red Star
6%
Draws
90%
UP Country Lions
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UP Country Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • UP Country Lions have won more games recently than Red Star.
  • Win probability leans UP Country Lions's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Red Star Clean Sheet 10%
UP Country Lions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Red Star UP Country Lions
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 11 19
Draws 8 1
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.75 2
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2022 Super League
Red Star vs UP Country Lions
0:3
Jan 5, 2019 Super League
Red Star vs UP Country Lions
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Red Star Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

UP Country Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Razeek A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Red Star 10 / 100
UP Country Lions 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Red Star UP Country Lions

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Red Star scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

UP Country Lions let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Red Star went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Red Star VS UP Country Lions
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%