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Redcar Athletic vs Avro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Fewster B.
41' Event
Fewster B.
48' Event
Lowe B.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division game between Redcar Athletic and Avro finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Redcar Athletic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Redcar Athletic
15%
Draws
36%
Avro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Redcar Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Avro come out ahead of Redcar Athletic on wins alone.
  • Redcar Athletic are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Redcar Athletic Clean Sheet 12%
Avro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Redcar Athletic Avro
Matches Played 23 28
Wins 12 15
Draws 4 2
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.74 2
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Redcar Athletic vs Avro
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Redcar Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Fewster B.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Avro Compare

Top Goalscorer Lowe B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Redcar Athletic 83 / 100
Avro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Redcar Athletic Avro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Redcar Athletic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Redcar Athletic found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (23 games).

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Avro conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Redcar Athletic stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Redcar Athletic VS Avro
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Redcar Athletic

(Home)
13 Oct
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1
Avro
10 Oct
Ilkeston
0 : 5
Redcar Athletic
06 Oct
Curzon Ashton
3 : 1
Redcar Athletic
03 Oct
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1
Alfreton
26 Sept
FC Guisborough Town
0 : 1
Redcar Athletic
Page 1 of 5

Avro

(Away)
13 Oct
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1
Avro
10 Oct
Avro
0 : 1
Guiseley
07 Oct
Avro
5 : 3
Lancaster
26 Sept
Dunston
0 : 2
Avro
12 Sept
Gainsborough
0 : 2
Avro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redcar Athletic 14 9 4 1 31:12 31
2 Cleethorpes 13 9 3 1 30:7 30
3 Guiseley 12 8 1 3 25:11 25
4 Avro 12 8 1 3 34:23 25
5 Warrington Rylands 14 7 2 5 25:21 23
6 Gainsborough 12 7 1 4 25:16 22
7 Curzon Ashton 12 7 1 4 24:16 22
8 Warrington Town 12 6 4 2 23:18 22
9 Workington 14 6 3 5 24:24 21
10 Lancaster 14 6 2 6 19:26 20
11 Bury FC 11 6 1 4 22:11 19
12 Alfreton 14 6 1 7 20:16 19
13 Whitby 13 5 1 7 19:33 16
14 Hyde 14 4 3 7 15:25 15
15 Ashton United 12 3 5 4 14:13 14
16 Quorn 13 3 5 5 23:29 14
17 Stockton 14 3 3 8 17:25 12
18 Leek Town 12 2 5 5 24:25 11
19 AFC Emley 13 2 5 6 12:25 11
20 Bamber Bridge 13 2 4 7 16:32 10
21 United of Manchester 12 1 4 7 15:23 7
22 Ilkeston 14 2 1 11 8:34 7
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)