Sport Picks
Redcar Athletic vs Lancaster - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
NPL Premier Division 
Match Events
26'
26'
Boyes A.
35'
35'
Sanogo S.
51'
51'
Rowe D.
AI Match Summary
Redcar Athletic in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Redcar Athletic.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Redcar Athletic
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lancaster lately — more wins on the board than Redcar Athletic.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Redcar Athletic taking it.
- Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Redcar Athletic Clean Sheet 20%
Lancaster Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Redcar Athletic | Lancaster |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 21 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Redcar Athletic vs Lancaster
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Redcar Athletic Compare
Top Goalscorer Boyes A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Rowe D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Lancaster Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanogo S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Redcar Athletic 67 / 100
Lancaster 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Redcar Athletic Lancaster
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Redcar Athletic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Redcar Athletic scored in 81% of their last 21 outings.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Lancaster let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Redcar Athletic has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Redcar Athletic VS Lancaster
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Redcar Athletic
(Home) 06 Oct
Curzon Ashton
3 : 1 Redcar Athletic
03 Oct
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1 Alfreton
26 Sept
FC Guisborough Town
0 : 1 Redcar Athletic
22 Sept
Cleethorpes
1 : 1 Redcar Athletic
19 Sept
Redcar Athletic
1 : 2 Macclesfield
Page 1 of 5
03 Oct
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1 Alfreton
19 Sept
Redcar Athletic
1 : 2 Macclesfield
12 Sept
Redcar Athletic
3 : 2 Leek Town
05 Sept
Redcar Athletic
1 : 0 Stocksbridge
29 Aug
Redcar Athletic
3 : 2 United of Manchester
Page 1 of 3
Lancaster
(Away) 07 Oct
Avro
5 : 3 Lancaster
03 Oct
Lancaster
2 : 1 Ilkeston
29 Sept
Whitby
1 : 2 Lancaster
26 Sept
Cleethorpes
5 : 1 Lancaster
19 Sept
Bradford PA
1 : 0 Lancaster
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Avro
5 : 3 Lancaster
29 Sept
Whitby
1 : 2 Lancaster
26 Sept
Cleethorpes
5 : 1 Lancaster
19 Sept
Bradford PA
1 : 0 Lancaster
08 Sept
Tadcaster Albion
0 : 2 Lancaster
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Avro | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 33:19 | 25 |
| 3 | Redcar Athletic | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 4 | Guiseley | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24:11 | 22 |
| 5 | Workington | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23:19 | 21 |
| 6 | Warrington Rylands | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20:17 | 20 |
| 7 | Curzon Ashton | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21:11 | 19 |
| 8 | Alfreton | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Warrington Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:16 | 18 |
| 10 | Bury FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:9 | 16 |
| 11 | Gainsborough | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:14 | 16 |
| 12 | Lancaster | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 16:24 | 16 |
| 13 | Hyde | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:21 | 14 |
| 14 | Ashton United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 15 | Whitby | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 17:32 | 12 |
| 16 | Stockton | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 17 | Leek Town | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 22:23 | 10 |
| 18 | Quorn | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:27 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Emley | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10:22 | 10 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:31 | 9 |
| 21 | Ilkeston | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7:26 | 7 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | 5 |
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