Sport Picks

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Redcar Athletic vs Lancaster

England England

NPL Premier Division
Tue, Aug 18, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Redcar Athletic host Lancaster in the NPL Premier Division. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Redcar Athletic at 0.89 goals for, 2.11 against; Lancaster at 1.39 for, 1.39 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.06 - 1.44) back Lancaster to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Redcar Athletic
30%
Draws
33%
Lancaster
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Redcar Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lancaster lately — more wins on the board than Redcar Athletic.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Redcar Athletic taking it.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Redcar Athletic Clean Sheet 16%
Lancaster Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Redcar Athletic Lancaster
Matches Played 9 28
Wins 2 10
Draws 2 7
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 0.89 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Redcar Athletic 57 / 100
Lancaster 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Redcar Athletic Lancaster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Redcar Athletic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Redcar Athletic scored in 67% of their last 9 outings.

Lancaster has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Redcar Athletic went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Lancaster registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Redcar Athletic VS Lancaster
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Redcar Athletic

(Home)
15 Aug
Quorn
1 : 1
Redcar Athletic
11 Aug
Workington
0 : 1
Redcar Athletic
08 Aug
Redcar Athletic
0 : 0
Bury FC
21 Jul
Redcar Athletic
1 : 0
FC Guisborough Town
14 Jul
Redcar Athletic
2 : 4
Hartlepool
Page 1 of 2

Lancaster

(Away)
15 Aug
Lancaster
1 : 2
Hyde
11 Aug
Lancaster
1 : 0
Warrington Rylands
08 Aug
Ashton United
4 : 1
Lancaster
21 Jul
Lancaster
2 : 2
Preston U21
25 Apr
Lancaster
2 : 0
Stocksbridge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 3 2 1 0 8:1 7
2 Warrington Town 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Bury FC 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
4 Gainsborough 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
5 Avro 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
6 Alfreton 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
7 Ashton United 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
8 Whitby 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
9 Ilkeston 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
10 Redcar Athletic 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
11 Guiseley 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
12 AFC Emley 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
13 Hyde 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
14 Warrington Rylands 3 1 0 2 3:2 3
15 Curzon Ashton 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
16 Lancaster 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
17 Bamber Bridge 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
18 Leek Town 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
19 Stockton 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
20 Workington 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
21 Quorn 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
22 United of Manchester 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)