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Redcar Athletic vs United of Manchester - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Boyes A.
24' Event
Pettifer A.
75' Event
Ardelean A.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division game between Redcar Athletic and United of Manchester finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Redcar Athletic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Redcar Athletic
20%
Draws
33%
United of Manchester
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Redcar Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Redcar Athletic carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Redcar Athletic's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Redcar Athletic Clean Sheet 13%
United of Manchester Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Redcar Athletic United of Manchester
Matches Played 22 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.68 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Redcar Athletic vs United of Manchester
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Redcar Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Boyes A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ardelean A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

United of Manchester Compare

Top Goalscorer Pettifer A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Le Fondre A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Redcar Athletic 75 / 100
United of Manchester 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Redcar Athletic United of Manchester

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Redcar Athletic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Redcar Athletic found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (22 games).

United of Manchester let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Redcar Athletic has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Redcar Athletic VS United of Manchester
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Redcar Athletic

(Home)
10 Oct
Ilkeston
0 : 5
Redcar Athletic
06 Oct
Curzon Ashton
3 : 1
Redcar Athletic
03 Oct
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1
Alfreton
26 Sept
FC Guisborough Town
0 : 1
Redcar Athletic
22 Sept
Cleethorpes
1 : 1
Redcar Athletic
Page 1 of 5

United of Manchester

(Away)
10 Oct
Stockton
2 : 2
United of Manchester
06 Oct
Alfreton
1 : 0
United of Manchester
03 Oct
Worksop
0 : 3
United of Manchester
26 Sept
Hyde
2 : 0
United of Manchester
19 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1
Ossett United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 13 9 3 1 30:7 30
2 Redcar Athletic 13 8 4 1 28:11 28
3 Guiseley 12 8 1 3 25:11 25
4 Avro 11 8 1 2 33:20 25
5 Curzon Ashton 11 7 1 3 23:11 22
6 Workington 13 6 3 4 23:22 21
7 Warrington Rylands 13 6 2 5 20:20 20
8 Bury FC 11 6 1 4 22:11 19
9 Gainsborough 11 6 1 4 22:15 19
10 Warrington Town 11 5 4 2 22:18 19
11 Alfreton 13 6 0 7 20:16 18
12 Lancaster 13 5 2 6 18:26 17
13 Hyde 13 4 2 7 13:23 14
14 Ashton United 11 3 4 4 14:13 13
15 Quorn 12 3 4 5 21:27 13
16 Whitby 12 4 1 7 17:32 13
17 Stockton 13 3 3 7 17:24 12
18 Leek Town 12 2 5 5 24:25 11
19 AFC Emley 12 2 4 6 11:24 10
20 Bamber Bridge 12 2 4 6 16:31 10
21 Ilkeston 13 2 1 10 7:31 7
22 United of Manchester 11 1 3 7 14:22 6
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