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Redditch vs Leiston

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Bunn R.
27' Event
Cameron A.
73'
Hill W.

AI Match Summary

Redditch in this Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Redditch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Redditch
35%
Draws
29%
Leiston
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Redditch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Leiston have won more games recently than Redditch.
  • Model gives Redditch a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Redditch Clean Sheet 15%
Leiston Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Redditch Leiston
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.64 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Redditch vs Leiston
4:1
Aug 23, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Leiston vs Redditch
2:0
Feb 1, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Leiston vs Redditch
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Redditch vs Leiston
1:2
Apr 13, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Redditch vs Leiston
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Redditch Compare

Top Goalscorer Bunn R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cameron A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Leiston Compare

Top Goalscorer Mills A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Redditch 35 / 100
Leiston 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Redditch Leiston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Redditch's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Redditch stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Leiston's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Redditch VS Leiston
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Redditch

(Home)
08 Aug
Redditch
1 : 1
Leighton Town
27 Jul
Redditch
3 : 1
Coventry United
11 Jul
Long Eaton
2 : 2
Redditch
07 Jul
Evesham
1 : 2
Redditch
25 Apr
Redditch
5 : 0
Quorn
Page 1 of 6

Leiston

(Away)
08 Aug
Anstey Nomads
1 : 1
Leiston
28 Jul
Gorleston
1 : 3
Leiston
10 Jul
Aveley
2 : 4
Leiston
25 Apr
Alvechurch
1 : 1
Leiston
18 Apr
Leiston
2 : 2
Spalding United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harborough 42 28 11 3 81:33 95
2 Spalding United 42 25 10 7 103:54 85
3 Real Bedford 42 24 9 9 84:47 81
4 Kettering 42 21 9 12 74:52 72
5 Halesowen 42 20 10 12 85:60 70
6 Needham Market 42 20 10 12 64:53 70
7 Redditch 42 21 7 14 67:58 70
8 Quorn 42 19 8 15 78:71 65
9 Worcester 42 17 12 13 64:44 63
10 Leiston 42 16 15 11 65:58 63
11 Stratford 42 17 10 15 61:54 61
12 Banbury 42 17 9 16 51:56 60
13 Bury Town 42 15 13 14 61:53 58
14 Alvechurch 42 14 8 20 49:55 50
15 Stourbridge 42 12 14 16 58:68 50
16 Stortford 42 13 10 19 53:67 49
17 Stamford 42 13 8 21 41:64 47
18 Bromsgrove 42 12 8 22 52:73 44
19 St Ives Town 42 9 12 21 50:73 39
20 Barwell 42 9 8 25 52:85 35
21 Royston Town 42 5 10 27 35:82 25
22 Sudbury 42 6 7 29 47:115 25
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)