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Stadium Background

Redencao U20 vs Estrela De Marco U20

Brazil Brazil

Baiano U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Baiano U20 game between Redencao U20 and Estrela De Marco U20 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Redencao U20
15%
Draws
42%
Estrela De Marco U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Redencao U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Redencao U20 haven't matched Estrela De Marco U20's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Redencao U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Estrela De Marco U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Redencao U20 Estrela De Marco U20
Matches Played 14 32
Wins 3 15
Draws 1 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.09
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Baiano U20
Redencao U20 vs Estrela De Marco U20
1:1
Apr 4, 2026 Baiano U20
Estrela De Marco U20 vs Redencao U20
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Redencao U20 29 / 100
Estrela De Marco U20 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Redencao U20 Estrela De Marco U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Redencao U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Redencao U20 scored in 71% of their last 14 outings.

Estrela De Marco U20 let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Estrela De Marco U20 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Redencao U20 VS Estrela De Marco U20
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Redencao U20

(Home)
03 Jun
Bahia de Feira U20
1 : 3
Redencao U20
30 May
Redencao U20
2 : 5
Vitoria U20
23 May
Leonico U20
0 : 1
Redencao U20
09 May
Redencao U20
1 : 2
Fluminense de Feira U20
02 May
Alagoinhas U20
4 : 2
Redencao U20
Page 1 of 3

Estrela De Marco U20

(Away)
09 Sept
Botafogo RJ U20
4 : 0
Estrela De Marco U20
13 Jun
Fluminense de Feira U20
2 : 0
Estrela De Marco U20
06 Jun
Estrela De Marco U20
1 : 0
Fluminense de Feira U20
03 Jun
Vitoria U20
3 : 0
Estrela De Marco U20
30 May
Estrela De Marco U20
2 : 1
Bahia de Feira U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia U20 14 12 1 1 62:8 37
2 Galicia U20 14 9 1 4 24:14 28
3 Camacariense U20 14 9 0 5 37:21 27
4 SSA U20 14 6 2 6 29:15 20
5 Jacobina U20 14 6 2 6 18:18 20
6 Juazeirense U20 14 5 3 6 16:25 18
7 Feirense U20 14 3 0 11 11:35 9
8 Camacari U20 14 1 1 12 6:67 4
Promotion - Baiano U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria U20 14 12 1 1 49:14 37
2 Fluminense de Feira U20 14 8 3 3 30:18 27
3 Jacuipense U20 14 7 3 4 24:15 24
4 Estrela De Marco U20 14 6 4 4 18:16 22
5 Alagoinhas U20 14 6 3 5 26:23 21
6 Bahia de Feira U20 14 4 1 9 16:25 13
7 Redencao U20 14 3 1 10 17:36 10
8 Leonico U20 14 1 2 11 9:42 5
Promotion - Baiano U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Porto-BA U20 14 10 3 1 31:17 33
2 Conquista FC U20 14 9 4 1 23:7 31
3 Vitoria da Conquista U20 14 6 4 4 25:11 22
4 Barcelona FC U20 14 5 3 6 16:16 18
5 Grapiuna U20 14 5 2 7 18:16 17
6 Serrano U20 14 5 1 8 20:30 16
7 Jequie U20 14 4 3 7 18:22 15
8 Catuense U20 14 2 0 12 16:48 6
Promotion - Baiano U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams