Sport Picks

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Redencao vs Camacari

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2
Redencao Logo

Redencao

4 - 0
FT
Camacari Logo

Camacari

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
55' Event
68' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Redencao in this Baiano 2 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Redencao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Redencao
20%
Draws
0%
Camacari
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Redencao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Camacari have won more games recently than Redencao.
  • Redencao are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Redencao Clean Sheet 20%
Camacari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Redencao Camacari
Matches Played 9 30
Wins 4 6
Draws 2 3
Losses 3 21
Goals Scored 1.78 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.22 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Baiano 2
Redencao vs Camacari
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Redencao 85 / 100
Camacari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Redencao Camacari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Redencao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Camacari conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Camacari has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Redencao has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Redencao VS Camacari
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 4.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Redencao

(Home)
05 Jul
Redencao
4 : 0
Camacari
20 Jun
Feira FC
0 : 0
Redencao
14 Jun
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 1
Redencao
07 Jun
Redencao
2 : 2
Grapiuna
31 May
SSA
1 : 0
Redencao
Page 1 of 2

Camacari

(Away)
05 Jul
Redencao
4 : 0
Camacari
20 Jun
Camacari
1 : 3
Grapiuna
11 Jun
SSA
8 : 0
Camacari
06 Jun
Camacari
2 : 5
Vitoria da Conquista
31 May
Jacobina
2 : 0
Camacari
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense de Feira 9 8 1 0 33:5 25
2 SSA 9 7 0 2 19:5 21
3 Barreiras 9 7 0 2 20:8 21
4 Feira FC 9 6 1 2 27:4 19
5 Redencao 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
6 Leonico 9 3 1 5 16:24 10
7 Jacobina 9 2 1 6 9:23 7
8 Grapiuna 9 2 1 6 8:26 7
9 Vitoria da Conquista 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
10 Camacari 9 0 0 9 5:41 0
Promotion - Baiano 2 (Play Offs)