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Redeyef vs Gafsa

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Jdidi Y.
85' Event
Zakaria A.
86' Event
Kawach F.

AI Match Summary

Redeyef in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Redeyef.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Redeyef
35%
Draws
40%
Gafsa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gafsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Redeyef haven't matched Gafsa's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Redeyef Clean Sheet 22%
Gafsa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Redeyef Gafsa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Ligue 2
Gafsa vs Redeyef
0:0
Nov 16, 2025 Ligue 2
Redeyef vs Gafsa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Redeyef Compare

Top Goalscorer Jdidi Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kawach F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Gafsa Compare

Top Goalscorer Zakaria A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Redeyef 32 / 100
Gafsa 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Redeyef Gafsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gafsa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Redeyef scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Gafsa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Redeyef remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Redeyef VS Gafsa
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Redeyef

(Home)
12 May
PS Sakiet Eddaier
5 : 0
Redeyef
02 May
Redeyef
1 : 0
Kasserine
28 Apr
Kalaa
2 : 2
Redeyef
19 Apr
Redeyef
2 : 3
Moknine
11 Apr
Gafsa
0 : 0
Redeyef
Page 1 of 6

Gafsa

(Away)
12 May
Gafsa
5 : 2
Sidi Bouzid
02 May
Ariana
1 : 1
Gafsa
28 Apr
Gafsa
1 : 0
Jendouba Sport
19 Apr
Ksour Essef
4 : 2
Gafsa
11 Apr
Gafsa
0 : 0
Redeyef
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)