Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Redlands vs Caboolture

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Compass Grounds, Brisbane
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Docherty E.
18' Event
Docherty E.
79' Event
Kneller N. B.

AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League game between Redlands and Caboolture finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Redlands
35%
Draws
26%
Caboolture
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Redlands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Redlands haven't matched Caboolture's recent run of results.
  • Redlands are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Redlands Clean Sheet 17%
Caboolture Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Redlands Caboolture
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 12
Draws 9 4
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.9 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs Caboolture
2:2
Apr 25, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Redlands
4:2
Aug 9, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Redlands
2:7
May 6, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs Caboolture
1:4
Jul 9, 2022 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs Caboolture
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Redlands Compare

Top Goalscorer Kneller N. B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paxton B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Caboolture Compare

Top Goalscorer Docherty E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Redlands 39 / 100
Caboolture 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Redlands Caboolture

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Redlands Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Redlands scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Caboolture let in goals in 97% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 5.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Redlands stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Redlands VS Caboolture
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Redlands

(Home)
15 Aug
Redlands
2 : 0
Logan Lightning
09 Aug
Brisbane Strikers
3 : 0
Redlands
01 Aug
Redlands
2 : 2
Caboolture
19 Jul
Robina City
1 : 1
Redlands
11 Jul
Redlands
1 : 1
Capalaba FC
Page 1 of 6

Caboolture

(Away)
15 Aug
North Star
2 : 1
Caboolture
09 Aug
Caboolture
7 : 2
Holland Park Hawks
01 Aug
Redlands
2 : 2
Caboolture
18 Jul
St. George Willawong
1 : 0
Caboolture
15 Jul
Caboolture
0 : 3
Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)