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Redlands vs Capalaba FC

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League 2025 Compass Grounds
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Redlands play Capalaba FC in the Queensland Premier League 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Redlands averaged 1.86 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Capalaba FC averaged 1 goals scored and 2.86 conceded. In past meetings, Redlands won 1, Capalaba FC won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 10, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.13 for Redlands and 1.31 for Capalaba FC. This points to a Redlands double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Redlands
19%
Draws
29%
Capalaba FC
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Redlands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Redlands picked up more points recently compared to Capalaba FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.13 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Redlands Clean Sheet 18%
Capalaba FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Redlands Capalaba FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 5
Draws 8 3
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.86 1
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 3.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Capalaba FC vs Redlands
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs Capalaba FC
0:1
Jun 10, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Capalaba FC vs Redlands
1:1
Oct 24, 2021 NPL Queensland
Capalaba FC vs Redlands
1:0
May 7, 2021 NPL Queensland
Redlands vs Capalaba FC
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Redlands Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Capalaba FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rossi J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Redlands 50 / 100
Capalaba FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Redlands Capalaba FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Redlands or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Redlands attacking → ← attacking Capalaba FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Redlands scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Capalaba FC let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Redlands went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Capalaba FC lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 18
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Magic United TFA FC22151666:2943
2Rochedale22134555:2643
3Broadbeach Utd.22127355:2943
4Brisbane Strikers22133652:2842
5Logan Lightning22104843:4234
6Redlands2296742:4733
7Caboolture22931047:4030
8Holland Park Hawks22831147:4627
9Ipswich2258924:2623
10Capalaba FC22531431:5918
11SWQ Thunder22531426:6318
12Southside Eagles22431521:7415