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Redlands vs Capalaba FC

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Compass Grounds, Brisbane
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Match Events

39' Event
Fukuda R.
86' Event
Todd J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Redlands
6%
Draws
4%
Capalaba FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Redlands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Redlands have won more games recently than Capalaba FC.
  • Win probability leans Redlands's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Redlands Clean Sheet 20%
Capalaba FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Redlands Capalaba FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 9 3
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 2.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 3.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 3.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs Capalaba FC
1:1
Apr 10, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Capalaba FC vs Redlands
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs Capalaba FC
0:1
Jun 10, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Capalaba FC vs Redlands
1:1
Oct 24, 2021 NPL Queensland
Capalaba FC vs Redlands
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Redlands Compare

Top Goalscorer Fukuda R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Capalaba FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Todd J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Redlands 85 / 100
Capalaba FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Redlands Capalaba FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RED Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Redlands's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Capalaba FC let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Redlands stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Redlands VS Capalaba FC
2.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Redlands

(Home)
19 Jul
Robina City
1 : 1
Redlands
11 Jul
Redlands
1 : 1
Capalaba FC
04 Jul
North Star
1 : 2
Redlands
30 Jun
Logan Lightning
5 : 1
Redlands
26 Jun
Holland Park Hawks
1 : 4
Redlands
Page 1 of 6

Capalaba FC

(Away)
19 Jul
Capalaba FC
3 : 0
Holland Park Hawks
11 Jul
Redlands
1 : 1
Capalaba FC
04 Jul
Capalaba FC
0 : 2
St. George Willawong
27 Jun
Broadbeach Utd.
3 : 1
Capalaba FC
23 Jun
Robina City
5 : 1
Capalaba FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brisbane Strikers19153146:1548
2Broadbeach Utd.19144148:1846
3Ipswich1994632:2931
4Sunshine Coast Wanderers1986538:2630
5Robina City1985631:2129
6Caboolture1983835:3227
7Redlands1975736:3326
8Logan Lightning1973935:3724
9Holland Park Hawks1973929:3624
10St. George Willawong19411411:4113
11North Star19331318:4012
12Capalaba FC19321420:5111
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)