Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
68'
68'
AI Match Summary
The Paulista U20 game between Referencia U20 and Guarani U20 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarani U20.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guarani U20
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Guarani U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Guarani U20's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Paulista U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Referencia U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Guarani U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Referencia U20 | Guarani U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 20 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 31, 2026 Paulista U20
Referencia U20 vs Guarani U20
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Referencia U20 11 / 100
Guarani U20 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Referencia U20 Guarani U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guarani U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Referencia U20 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Referencia U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Guarani U20 let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Referencia U20 VS Guarani U20
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Referencia U20
(Home) 12 Sept
Referencia U20
2 : 0 Maua FC U20
04 Sept
Tanabi U20
0 : 2 Referencia U20
21 Aug
Referencia U20
0 : 2 Palmeiras U20
14 Aug
Referencia U20
1 : 0 Sfera U20
11 Aug
XV de Jau U20
2 : 1 Referencia U20
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Referencia U20
2 : 0 Maua FC U20
21 Aug
Referencia U20
0 : 2 Palmeiras U20
14 Aug
Referencia U20
1 : 0 Sfera U20
31 Jul
Referencia U20
0 : 1 Guarani U20
05 Jul
Referencia U20
1 : 4 Bragantino U20
Page 1 of 4
Guarani U20
(Away) 18 Sept
Uniao Suzano U20
1 : 1 Guarani U20
12 Sept
Gremio Prudente U20
1 : 5 Guarani U20
04 Sept
Guarani U20
3 : 0 XV de Jau U20
21 Aug
Guarani U20
2 : 1 Ituano U20
15 Aug
Capivariano U20
1 : 1 Guarani U20
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Uniao Suzano U20
1 : 1 Guarani U20
12 Sept
Gremio Prudente U20
1 : 5 Guarani U20
15 Aug
Capivariano U20
1 : 1 Guarani U20
12 Aug
Bragantino U20
2 : 0 Guarani U20
31 Jul
Referencia U20
0 : 1 Guarani U20
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santos U20 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32:5 | 32 |
| 2 | Corinthians U20 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 29:3 | 32 |
| 3 | CA Juventus U20 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 35:16 | 28 |
| 4 | Ferroviaria U20 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21:9 | 25 |
| 5 | Portuguesa U20 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21:13 | 25 |
| 6 | Sertaozinho U20 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13:12 | 19 |
| 7 | Portuguesa Santista U20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16:19 | 17 |
| 8 | Ponte Preta U20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:29 | 15 |
| 9 | Uniao Suzano U20 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10:21 | 14 |
| 10 | Jabaquara U20 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9:17 | 13 |
| 11 | Itapirense U20 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 14:29 | 10 |
| 12 | America SP U20 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 8:31 | 9 |
| 13 | Sao Bento U20 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14:24 | 9 |
| 14 | Mirassol U20 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12:21 | 8 |
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ibrachina U20 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 34:8 | 34 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo U20 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 23:4 | 33 |
| 3 | Novorizontino U20 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 23:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Santo Andre U20 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22:16 | 22 |
| 5 | Desportivo U20 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:13 | 22 |
| 6 | Osasco Sporting U20 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 19:17 | 21 |
| 7 | Botafogo SP U20 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 24:17 | 19 |
| 8 | Piracicaba U20 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 12:9 | 19 |
| 9 | EC Sao Bernardo U20 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 18:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Paulinense U20 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | 15 |
| 11 | CA Bandeirante U20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12:26 | 12 |
| 12 | Uniao Sao Joao U20 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 13 | Sao Caetano U20 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:25 | 11 |
| 14 | Velo Clube U20 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6:24 | 11 |
| 15 | Aguai U20 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10:37 | 8 |
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bragantino U20 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 61:9 | 39 |
| 2 | Palmeiras U20 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 29:7 | 35 |
| 3 | Guarani U20 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 28:11 | 34 |
| 4 | Sfera U20 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 28:16 | 22 |
| 5 | Osasco Audax U20 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:13 | 22 |
| 6 | Agua Santa U20 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:23 | 21 |
| 7 | Capivariano U20 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20:14 | 21 |
| 8 | Flamengo SP U20 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 11:20 | 17 |
| 9 | XV de Jau U20 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 13:26 | 17 |
| 10 | Gremio Prudente U20 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22:25 | 16 |
| 11 | Ituano U20 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17:26 | 14 |
| 12 | Referencia U20 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 11:21 | 13 |
| 13 | Maua FC U20 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7:28 | 9 |
| 14 | Tanabi U20 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11:37 | 9 |
| 15 | Porto Football U20 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6:27 | 7 |
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)
