Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Referencia U20 vs Rio Claro U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Santos G.
59' Event
Fellipe Gabriel S. R.
67' Event
Campos B.

AI Match Summary

The Paulista U20 2025 game between Referencia U20 and Rio Claro U20 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Referencia U20
6%
Draws
4%
Rio Claro U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Referencia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Rio Claro U20 haven't matched Referencia U20's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Referencia U20 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista U20 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Referencia U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Rio Claro U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Referencia U20 Rio Claro U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 9 3
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 4
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2025 Paulista U20
Referencia U20 vs Rio Claro U20
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Referencia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Campos B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fonseca Von Beust L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Rio Claro U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fellipe Gabriel S. R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Referencia U20 85 / 100
Rio Claro U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Referencia U20 Rio Claro U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rio Claro U20 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Rio Claro U20 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Referencia U20 found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Referencia U20 VS Rio Claro U20
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Referencia U20

(Home)
17 Jul
Capivariano U20
2 : 0
Referencia U20
05 Jul
Referencia U20
1 : 4
Bragantino U20
26 Jun
Referencia U20
1 : 2
Gremio Prudente U20
12 Jun
Ituano U20
1 : 1
Referencia U20
05 Jun
Referencia U20
1 : 2
Agua Santa U20
Page 1 of 6

Rio Claro U20

(Away)
12 Aug
Sao Bento U20
4 : 0
Rio Claro U20
02 Aug
Rio Claro U20
0 : 4
Botafogo SP U20
26 Jul
Ituano U20
7 : 0
Rio Claro U20
20 Jul
Jabaquara U20
2 : 0
Rio Claro U20
11 Jul
Rio Claro U20
0 : 1
Santo Andre U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras U2015121261:1137
2Bragantino U2015112236:1135
3Sao Paulo U2015112236:1335
4Guarani U2015111328:1334
5EC Sao Bernardo U2015110433:1333
6Novorizontino U2015103236:1633
7Portuguesa U201594233:1531
8Ituano U201593337:1230
9Ibrachina U201593331:1530
10Ferroviaria U201592429:1829
11Santos U201592429:1929
12CA Juventus U201592415:1029
13Corinthians U201592429:2529
14Uniao Suzano U201592423:1929
15Ponte Preta U201591533:1928
16Santo Andre U201581626:2625
17Osasco Sporting U201574422:1725
18Capivariano U201573523:1524
19XV de Jau U201571726:2322
20Piracicaba U201571719:1822
21Gremio Prudente U201564521:1522
22Portuguesa Santista U201564519:2122
23Mirassol U201563621:1321
24Osasco Audax U201563627:2521
25Sao Caetano U201563620:2321
26Referencia U201556425:2621
27Botafogo SP U201562725:2120
28Internacional de Limeira U201562720:1920
29Desportivo U201553722:2518
30Maua FC U201553713:1718
31Bandeirante U201553718:2518
32Itapirense U201553718:2618
33Sertaozinho U201552814:1717
34Tanabi U201544719:2416
35Agua Santa U201544720:2816
36Velo Clube U201544716:2616
37Sao Bento U201543817:2915
38Aguai U201543812:2515
39Jabaquara U201543816:3015
40Sfera U201542915:2314
41Flamengo SP U201542915:3214
42AC Guaratingueta U2015321012:3511
43Uniao Sao Joao U2015311113:3310
44Comercial FC - Tiete U2015301220:369
45Taubate U2015221110:338
46Sao Jose EC U2015131114:406
47Aracatuba FC U2015131114:486
48Rio Claro U201511138:464
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1EC Sao Bernardo U2015110433:1333
2Novorizontino U2015103236:1633
3Ferroviaria U201592429:1829
4Santos U201592429:1929
5CA Juventus U201592415:1029
6Ponte Preta U201591533:1928
7Mirassol U201563621:1321
8Osasco Audax U201563627:2521
9Sao Caetano U201563620:2321
10Internacional de Limeira U201562720:1920
11Itapirense U201553718:2618
12Velo Clube U201544716:2616
13Aguai U201543812:2515
14Sfera U201542915:2314
15Taubate U2015221110:338
16Sao Jose EC U2015131114:406
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras U2015121261:1137
2Bragantino U2015112236:1135
3Portuguesa U201594233:1531
4Ituano U201593337:1230
5Corinthians U201592429:2529
6Uniao Suzano U201592423:1929
7Santo Andre U201581626:2625
8Referencia U201556425:2621
9Botafogo SP U201562725:2120
10Sertaozinho U201552814:1717
11Agua Santa U201544720:2816
12Sao Bento U201543817:2915
13Jabaquara U201543816:3015
14Uniao Sao Joao U2015311113:3310
15Aracatuba FC U2015131114:486
16Rio Claro U201511138:464
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Paulo U2015112236:1335
2Guarani U2015111328:1334
3Ibrachina U201593331:1530
4Osasco Sporting U201574422:1725
5Capivariano U201573523:1524
6XV de Jau U201571726:2322
7Piracicaba U201571719:1822
8Gremio Prudente U201564521:1522
9Portuguesa Santista U201564519:2122
10Desportivo U201553722:2518
11Maua FC U201553713:1718
12Bandeirante U201553718:2518
13Tanabi U201544719:2416
14Flamengo SP U201542915:3214
15AC Guaratingueta U2015321012:3511
16Comercial FC - Tiete U2015301220:369
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)