Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Regar-TadAZ vs CSKA Pomir Dushanbe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Regar-TadAZ host CSKA Pomir Dushanbe in the Vysshaya Liga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. CSKA Pomir Dushanbe have shipped 1.19 goals a game lately, while Regar-TadAZ have conceded 0.87 and scored 1.45. Past meetings favor CSKA Pomir Dushanbe slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Regar-TadAZ to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Regar-TadAZ
30%
Draws
31%
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Regar-TadAZ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Regar-TadAZ have won more games recently than CSKA Pomir Dushanbe.
  • Win probability leans Regar-TadAZ's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors CSKA Pomir Dushanbe here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Regar-TadAZ Clean Sheet 20%
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Regar-TadAZ CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 18 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.45 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe vs Regar-TadAZ
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe vs Regar-TadAZ
1:0
Apr 28, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Regar-TadAZ vs CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
0:1
Oct 26, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Regar-TadAZ vs CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
2:3
Jun 1, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe vs Regar-TadAZ
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Regar-TadAZ 49 / 100
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Regar-TadAZ CSKA Pomir Dushanbe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Regar-TadAZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Regar-TadAZ has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Regar-TadAZ scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

CSKA Pomir Dushanbe has conceded goals in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Regar-TadAZ VS CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Regar-TadAZ

(Home)
10 Oct
Regar-TadAZ
2 : 0
Barkchi Hisor
17 Sept
Vakhsh
0 : 1
Regar-TadAZ
08 Sept
Regar-TadAZ
0 : 0
Khujand
30 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
1 : 0
Regar-TadAZ
18 Aug
Regar-TadAZ
3 : 0
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
Page 1 of 7

CSKA Pomir Dushanbe

(Away)
10 Oct
Istaravshan
0 : 1
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
14 Sept
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
0 : 3
Ravshan Kulob
06 Sept
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 0
Eskhata
15 Aug
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 1
Vakhsh
01 Aug
Khujand
1 : 1
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Regar-TadAZ 18 12 4 2 25:9 40
2 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 18 10 5 3 35:18 35
4 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 17 8 3 6 19:20 27
5 Khujand 17 7 6 4 16:11 27
6 Barkchi Hisor 17 7 3 7 24:25 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 18 6 5 7 24:20 23
8 Eskhata 18 5 5 8 23:33 20
9 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 18 4 3 11 15:33 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 17 2 6 9 24:32 12
12 Istaravshan 18 0 6 12 15:36 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)