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Regensburg II vs Bogen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd 2016/2017 game between Regensburg II and Bogen finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Regensburg II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Regensburg II
6%
Draws
4%
Bogen
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Regensburg II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Regensburg II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Regensburg II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Süd 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Regensburg II Clean Sheet 20%
Bogen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Regensburg II Bogen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Regensburg II vs Bogen
3:1
Oct 1, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs Regensburg II
2:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Regensburg II 85 / 100
Bogen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Regensburg II Bogen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bogen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Regensburg II scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Regensburg II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Regensburg II VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pullach342110373:3273
2Unterfohring34216762:4269
3Pipinsried34189755:3863
4TSV Schwabmunchen34179854:4360
5Dachau341861056:4960
6Vilzing3414101047:4852
7Heimstetten341571268:5252
8Kirchanschoring341391240:3948
9Sonthofen3412111155:4447
10Rain/Lech341371464:5846
11Ismaning3410121252:5242
12Kottern-St. Mang341091564:7239
13Hankofen-Hailing348111536:5735
14Wolfratshausen341042044:6634
15Landsberg34971846:6534
16Regensburg II341032153:5633
17Bogen34871934:6231
18Gundelfingen34691939:6727