Sport Picks
Reggina vs ACR Messina
Italy
Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 Stadio Oreste Granillo, Reggio Calabria 
Match Events
40'
40'
Tedesco G.
88'
88'
Palumbo A.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 game between Reggina and ACR Messina finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
30%
26%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Reggina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- ACR Messina haven't matched Reggina's recent run of results.
- Model gives Reggina a 44% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 51.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Reggina Clean Sheet 68%
ACR Messina Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Reggina | ACR Messina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 21 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 13 |
| Losses | 4 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 0.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.45 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.95 | 0.78 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Reggina vs ACR Messina
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group I
ACR Messina vs Reggina
1:0
Dec 29, 2016 Serie C - Group C
ACR Messina vs Reggina
2:0
Sep 4, 2016 Serie C - Group C
Reggina vs ACR Messina
2:0
May 30, 2015 Serie C - Group C
ACR Messina vs Reggina
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Reggina Compare
Top Goalscorer Palumbo A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.47
ACR Messina Compare
Top Goalscorer Tedesco G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.43
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Reggina 95 / 100
ACR Messina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Reggina ACR Messina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Reggina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Reggina's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Reggina went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
ACR Messina let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Scoring Trends
Reggina VS ACR Messina
1.5 Goals Scored 0.8
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.4
63% Over 1.5 40%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Reggina
(Home) 27 Sept
Reggina
2 : 0 Igea Virtus
20 Sept
Lamezia
0 : 3 Reggina
16 Sept
Reggina
4 : 0 Calcio Avola
13 Sept
ASD Modica Calcio
0 : 1 Reggina
06 Sept
Reggina
5 : 0 Licata
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27 Sept
Reggina
2 : 0 Igea Virtus
16 Sept
Reggina
4 : 0 Calcio Avola
06 Sept
Reggina
5 : 0 Licata
13 Aug
Reggina
1 : 2 Sanremese
10 May
Reggina
1 : 0 Athletic Palermo
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ACR Messina
(Away) 10 May
USD Ragusa
0 : 0 ACR Messina
03 May
ACR Messina
1 : 0 Milazzo
26 Apr
Igea Virtus
1 : 1 ACR Messina
19 Apr
Lamezia
1 : 1 ACR Messina
12 Apr
ACR Messina
1 : 0 USD Ragusa
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10 May
USD Ragusa
0 : 0 ACR Messina
26 Apr
Igea Virtus
1 : 1 ACR Messina
19 Apr
Lamezia
1 : 1 ACR Messina
02 Apr
A.C. Savoia
2 : 0 ACR Messina
22 Mar
Vibonese
0 : 0 ACR Messina
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A.C. Savoia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 63:29 | 69 |
| 2 | Nissa | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 51:27 | 67 |
| 3 | Reggina | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 44:23 | 66 |
| 4 | Athletic Palermo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 59:47 | 60 |
| 5 | Gelbison | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 44:32 | 60 |
| 6 | Sambiase | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 38:30 | 53 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 49:36 | 53 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:36 | 44 |
| 9 | Gela | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 41:44 | 43 |
| 10 | Lamezia | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 43:35 | 42 |
| 11 | Castrumfavara | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:47 | 38 |
| 12 | Enna | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 50:53 | 36 |
| 13 | Vibonese | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | 35 |
| 14 | USD Ragusa | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 23:34 | 34 |
| 15 | ACR Messina | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 28:33 | 32 |
| 16 | AS Acireale | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 37:50 | 32 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 31:49 | 29 |
| 18 | Paterno | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22:72 | 19 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)
