Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Reggina vs Paterno

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 Stadio Oreste Granillo, Reggio Calabria
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Di Grazia A.
79' Event
Ragusa A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 game between Reggina and Paterno finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Reggina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Reggina
20%
Draws
6%
Paterno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Reggina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Paterno haven't matched Reggina's recent run of results.
  • Reggina are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Reggina here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Reggina Clean Sheet 68%
Paterno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Reggina Paterno
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 4
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 1.33 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Reggina vs Paterno
2:0
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Paterno vs Reggina
0:2
Mar 2, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Paterno vs Reggina
0:1
Oct 27, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Reggina vs Paterno
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reggina Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Grazia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Paterno Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reggina 95 / 100
Paterno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Reggina Paterno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Reggina's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Paterno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Reggina went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Reggina VS Paterno
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Reggina

(Home)
17 May
Nissa
0 : 0
Reggina
10 May
Reggina
1 : 0
Athletic Palermo
03 May
Reggina
4 : 2
Sambiase
26 Apr
Milazzo
1 : 2
Reggina
19 Apr
Reggina
2 : 0
Paterno
Page 1 of 6

Paterno

(Away)
03 May
Nissa
4 : 1
Paterno
26 Apr
Paterno
1 : 3
Castrumfavara
19 Apr
Reggina
2 : 0
Paterno
12 Apr
Paterno
0 : 0
Milazzo
02 Apr
Sambiase
3 : 1
Paterno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)