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Stadium Background

Reggina vs S. Agata

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 Stadio Oreste Granillo
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Reggina play S. Agata in the Serie D - Group I 2024/2025. Reggina are favorites here. Recently, Reggina averaged 1.39 goals scored and 0.61 conceded. S. Agata averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Reggina won 3, S. Agata won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 19, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Reggina and 0.69 for S. Agata. This points to a Reggina double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Reggina
16%
Draws
24%
S. Agata
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Reggina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Reggina picked up more points recently compared to S. Agata.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Reggina Clean Sheet 28%
S. Agata Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Reggina S. Agata
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.39 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.61 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Reggina vs S. Agata
3:0
Sep 22, 2024 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Reggina
1:3
Feb 25, 2024 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Reggina
1:0
Oct 22, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Reggina vs S. Agata
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reggina Compare

Top Goalscorer Renelus B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barranco B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

S. Agata Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reggina 60 / 100
S. Agata 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Reggina S. Agata

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Reggina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Reggina & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Reggina attacking → ← attacking S. Agata

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Reggina scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

S. Agata let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Reggina went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

S. Agata lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 30
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Siracusa32253465:1678
2Reggina32245365:2277
3Scafatese32205758:2665
4Sambiase32159840:2754
5Vibonese321551244:3150
6Nissa321113848:4946
7Paterno321014826:3244
8USD Ragusa329111237:3738
9Pompei321081429:4238
10Igea Virtus321071536:4737
11Sancataldese327141128:4035
12Enna327141121:3935
13AS Acireale328101435:5034
14Castrumfavara325151227:4030
15Licata32842033:5528
16S. Agata32691740:5427
17Locri 190932662032:5724
18Akragas00000:00