Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Reggina vs Vibonese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 Stadio Oreste Granillo, Reggio Calabria
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Edera S.
41' Event
Mungo D.
44' Event
Ferraro L.

AI Match Summary

Reggina in this Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Reggina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Reggina
15%
Draws
39%
Vibonese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Reggina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Reggina have won more games recently than Vibonese.
  • Win probability leans Reggina's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Reggina have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Reggina Clean Sheet 68%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Reggina Vibonese
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 22 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 1.66 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.41 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Reggina vs Vibonese
3:0
Sep 21, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Reggina
0:0
May 11, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Reggina vs Vibonese
2:0
Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Reggina vs Vibonese
2:1
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Reggina
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reggina Compare

Top Goalscorer Edera S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mungo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Vibonese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reggina 77 / 100
Vibonese 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Reggina Vibonese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Reggina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Reggina scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Vibonese let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Reggina went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Reggina VS Vibonese
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Reggina

(Home)
20 Sept
Lamezia
0 : 3
Reggina
16 Sept
Reggina
4 : 0
Calcio Avola
13 Sept
ASD Modica Calcio
0 : 1
Reggina
06 Sept
Reggina
5 : 0
Licata
13 Aug
Reggina
1 : 2
Sanremese
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Vibonese

(Away)
20 Sept
Vibonese
3 : 0
Athletic Palermo
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3
Vibonese
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
06 Sept
Trapani
0 : 4
Vibonese
03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1
Vibonese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)