Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Regua vs Leca

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025
Regua Logo

Regua

1 - 2
FT
Leca Logo

Leca

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Afonso A.
67' Event
Hernandez S.
90' Event
Rodrigues Mendes Teixeira J. D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Leca in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Regua
30%
Draws
58%
Leca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Leca have won more games recently than Regua.
  • Regua are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Regua Clean Sheet 13%
Leca Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Regua Leca
Matches Played 29 39
Wins 2 23
Draws 5 12
Losses 22 4
Goals Scored 0.66 1.95
Goals Conceded 2 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Regua vs Leca
1:2
Sep 1, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Leca vs Regua
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Regua Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues Mendes Teixeira J. D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Leca Compare

Top Goalscorer Afonso A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hernandez S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Regua 35 / 100
Leca 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Regua Leca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Leca conceded in 67% of 39 recent games.

Regua scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Regua has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Regua VS Leca
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Regua

(Home)
13 Apr
Guarda FC
1 : 1
Regua
06 Apr
Regua
0 : 3
SC Salgueiros
30 Mar
Uniao Lamas
2 : 1
Regua
16 Mar
Regua
0 : 1
Gondomar
09 Mar
Maritimo B
1 : 0
Regua
Page 1 of 6

Leca

(Away)
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2
Leca
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0
Leca
09 Aug
Leca
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
29 Jul
Leca
0 : 0
Lusitania FC
15 Jul
Santa Clara
4 : 0
Leca
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 26 19 5 2 52:17 62
2 AD Marco 09 26 16 5 5 35:16 53
3 SC Salgueiros 26 16 5 5 39:18 53
4 Cinfaes 26 11 8 7 33:25 41
5 Beira Mar 26 10 9 7 31:28 39
6 Uniao Lamas 26 11 5 10 31:27 38
7 FC Alpendorada 26 10 6 10 26:24 36
8 Machico 26 9 8 9 28:27 35
9 Camacha 26 8 11 7 30:35 35
10 Guarda FC 26 9 5 12 26:30 32
11 Gondomar 26 8 7 11 16:28 31
12 Coimbroes 26 5 6 15 24:43 21
13 Maritimo B 26 4 5 17 25:49 17
14 Regua 26 1 5 20 16:45 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)