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Reilac Shiga vs Renofa Yamaguchi Prediction & H2H Stats

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Heiwado HATO Stadium, Hikone
Reilac Shiga Logo

Reilac Shiga

1 - 4
FT
Renofa Yamaguchi Logo

Renofa Yamaguchi

Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Noyori K.
42' Event
Tanabe K.
Assist: Yamamoto S.
46'
Sub
Romero F. In: Watanabe R.
Out: Romero F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Reilac Shiga and Renofa Yamaguchi finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Renofa Yamaguchi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Reilac Shiga
15%
Draws
53%
Renofa Yamaguchi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Renofa Yamaguchi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Renofa Yamaguchi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Reilac Shiga Clean Sheet 17%
Renofa Yamaguchi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Reilac Shiga Renofa Yamaguchi
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 0 2
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 J2/J3 League
Reilac Shiga vs Renofa Yamaguchi
1:4
Feb 15, 2026 J2/J3 League
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Reilac Shiga
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reilac Shiga Compare

Top Goalscorer Hino T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Renofa Yamaguchi Compare

Top Goalscorer Noyori K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tanabe K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reilac Shiga 36 / 100
Renofa Yamaguchi 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Reilac Shiga Renofa Yamaguchi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Renofa Yamaguchi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Reilac Shiga scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Renofa Yamaguchi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Reilac Shiga has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Reilac Shiga VS Renofa Yamaguchi
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Reilac Shiga

(Home)
26 Sept
Nara Club
4 : 1
Reilac Shiga
20 Sept
Reilac Shiga
3 : 0
Ryukyu
13 Sept
Reilac Shiga
1 : 2
Kagoshima United
09 Sept
Reilac Shiga
0 : 1
Verdy
05 Sept
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 3
Reilac Shiga
Page 1 of 6

Renofa Yamaguchi

(Away)
26 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 2
SC Sagamihara
20 Sept
Kanazawa
1 : 2
Renofa Yamaguchi
12 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0
Thespakusatsu Gunma
05 Sept
Gainare Tottori
0 : 3
Renofa Yamaguchi
02 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
0 : 2
Fujieda MYFC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)