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Renate vs AlbinoLeffe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Mino Favini, Meda
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Renate host AlbinoLeffe in the Serie C - Group A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Renate at 1.52 goals for, 1.31 against; AlbinoLeffe at 1.59 for, 1.07 against. Past meetings favor AlbinoLeffe slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.56, favoring AlbinoLeffe. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Renate
35%
Draws
45%
AlbinoLeffe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AlbinoLeffe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AlbinoLeffe come out ahead of Renate on wins alone.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Renate Clean Sheet 15%
AlbinoLeffe Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renate AlbinoLeffe
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.52 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs AlbinoLeffe
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Renate
2:3
Feb 9, 2025 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Renate
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs AlbinoLeffe
0:2
Apr 13, 2024 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Renate
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renate 35 / 100
AlbinoLeffe 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renate AlbinoLeffe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AlbinoLeffe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Renate scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: AlbinoLeffe conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Renate stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Renate VS AlbinoLeffe
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Renate

(Home)
11 Oct
Renate
2 : 2
Giana Erminio
03 Oct
Ospitaletto
1 : 1
Renate
27 Sept
Renate
0 : 1
Treviso
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1
Renate
17 Sept
Renate
0 : 0
Dolomiti Bellunesi
Page 1 of 6

AlbinoLeffe

(Away)
10 Oct
Lumezzane
3 : 2
AlbinoLeffe
03 Oct
Cittadella
1 : 2
AlbinoLeffe
27 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
20 Sept
Juventus U23
3 : 5
AlbinoLeffe
17 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2
Arzignano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 9 8 0 1 16:4 24
2 Union Brescia 9 5 4 0 16:6 19
3 Ospitaletto 9 5 3 1 15:6 18
4 Arzignano 9 5 2 2 14:10 17
5 Trento 9 4 5 0 12:5 17
6 Treviso 9 3 4 2 8:7 13
7 Desenzano Calvina 9 3 4 2 8:7 13
8 AlbinoLeffe 9 3 3 3 14:13 12
9 Alcione Milano 9 2 6 1 13:14 12
10 Lumezzane 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
11 Pergolettese 9 2 5 2 5:6 11
12 Lecco 9 2 4 3 7:9 10
13 Dolomiti Bellunesi 9 2 4 3 7:9 10
14 Novara 9 2 3 4 8:12 9
15 Pro Vercelli 9 2 3 4 8:13 9
16 Juventus U23 9 1 4 4 8:15 7
17 Carpi 9 1 3 5 11:19 6
18 Folgore Caratese 9 1 3 5 9:13 6
19 Giana Erminio 9 0 5 4 8:12 5
20 Renate 9 0 4 5 8:14 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)