Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Renate vs Giana Erminio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Mino Favini, Meda
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Renate host Giana Erminio in the Serie C - Group A. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Renate at 1.48 goals for, 1.31 against; Giana Erminio at 1 for, 1.37 against. Head-to-head, Renate have won 2 to Giana Erminio's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 10, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.50, favoring Renate. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Renate
35%
Draws
37%
Giana Erminio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Giana Erminio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Renate carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Renate taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Renate Clean Sheet 16%
Giana Erminio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renate Giana Erminio
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.48 1
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Giana Erminio vs Renate
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Giana Erminio
1:1
May 7, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Giana Erminio
1:2
Jan 18, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Giana Erminio vs Renate
2:1
Sep 13, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Giana Erminio
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renate 36 / 100
Giana Erminio 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renate Giana Erminio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Renate found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Giana Erminio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Renate went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Renate VS Giana Erminio
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Renate

(Home)
03 Oct
Ospitaletto
1 : 1
Renate
27 Sept
Renate
0 : 1
Treviso
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1
Renate
17 Sept
Renate
0 : 0
Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2
Renate
Page 1 of 6

Giana Erminio

(Away)
04 Oct
Treviso
0 : 0
Giana Erminio
26 Sept
Giana Erminio
1 : 1
Pro Vercelli
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1
Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Giana Erminio
2 : 2
Trento
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0
Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 8 7 0 1 14:4 21
2 Union Brescia 8 4 4 0 14:6 16
3 Ospitaletto 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
4 Arzignano 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
5 Trento 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
6 Treviso 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
7 AlbinoLeffe 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
8 Alcione Milano 8 2 5 1 12:13 11
9 Dolomiti Bellunesi 8 2 4 2 7:7 10
10 Desenzano Calvina 8 2 4 2 6:7 10
11 Novara 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
12 Pro Vercelli 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
13 Lecco 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
14 Lumezzane 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
15 Pergolettese 8 1 5 2 3:5 8
16 Carpi 8 1 3 4 10:17 6
17 Folgore Caratese 8 1 3 4 9:12 6
18 Juventus U23 7 1 3 3 7:13 6
19 Giana Erminio 8 0 4 4 6:10 4
20 Renate 8 0 3 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)