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Renate vs Treviso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Mino Favini, Meda
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Bonetti A.
25'
Bove D.
40'
Gucher R.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A game between Renate and Treviso finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Treviso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Renate
35%
Draws
43%
Treviso
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Treviso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Renate come out ahead of Treviso on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Treviso have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Renate Clean Sheet 16%
Treviso Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renate Treviso
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.52 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Treviso
0:1
Jan 29, 2012 Lega Pro C2/A
Treviso vs Renate
0:1
Sep 25, 2011 Lega Pro C2/A
Renate vs Treviso
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Renate Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Treviso Compare

Top Goalscorer Bove D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renate 31 / 100
Treviso 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renate Treviso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Renate scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Treviso conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Renate has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Renate VS Treviso
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Renate

(Home)
11 Oct
Renate
2 : 2
Giana Erminio
03 Oct
Ospitaletto
1 : 1
Renate
27 Sept
Renate
0 : 1
Treviso
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1
Renate
17 Sept
Renate
0 : 0
Dolomiti Bellunesi
Page 1 of 6

Treviso

(Away)
11 Oct
Treviso
0 : 1
Ospitaletto
04 Oct
Treviso
0 : 0
Giana Erminio
27 Sept
Renate
0 : 1
Treviso
21 Sept
Treviso
0 : 0
Desenzano Calvina
17 Sept
Union Brescia
2 : 2
Treviso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 9 8 0 1 16:4 24
2 Union Brescia 9 5 4 0 16:6 19
3 Ospitaletto 9 5 3 1 15:6 18
4 Arzignano 9 5 2 2 14:10 17
5 Trento 9 4 5 0 12:5 17
6 Treviso 9 3 4 2 8:7 13
7 Desenzano Calvina 9 3 4 2 8:7 13
8 AlbinoLeffe 9 3 3 3 14:13 12
9 Alcione Milano 9 2 6 1 13:14 12
10 Lumezzane 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
11 Pergolettese 9 2 5 2 5:6 11
12 Lecco 9 2 4 3 7:9 10
13 Dolomiti Bellunesi 9 2 4 3 7:9 10
14 Novara 9 2 3 4 8:12 9
15 Pro Vercelli 9 2 3 4 8:13 9
16 Juventus U23 9 1 4 4 8:15 7
17 Carpi 9 1 3 5 11:19 6
18 Folgore Caratese 9 1 3 5 9:13 6
19 Giana Erminio 9 0 5 4 8:12 5
20 Renate 9 0 4 5 8:14 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)