Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Renate vs Triestina

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Mino Favini, Meda
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Anelli N.
36'
Auriletto S.
46'
Sub
Vicario J. In: D'Urso C.
Out: Vicario J.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Renate and Triestina finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Renate.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Renate
33%
Draws
27%
Triestina
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Renate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Renate carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Renate's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Renate Clean Sheet 68%
Triestina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renate Triestina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 1.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Triestina
4:0
Sep 28, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Renate
3:0
Apr 6, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Triestina
0:1
Nov 22, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Renate
0:1
Feb 13, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Renate
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Renate Compare

Top Goalscorer Anelli N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cali M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Triestina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renate 50 / 100
Triestina 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renate Triestina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Renate scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Triestina conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Renate stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Renate VS Triestina
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Renate

(Home)
13 May
Renate
0 : 3
Casarano
10 May
Casarano
0 : 2
Renate
25 Apr
Renate
2 : 1
Pro Patria
19 Apr
Trento
3 : 3
Renate
13 Apr
Renate
2 : 1
Pro Vercelli
Page 1 of 6

Triestina

(Away)
25 Apr
Triestina
1 : 6
Vicenza
19 Apr
AlbinoLeffe
3 : 0
Triestina
11 Apr
Triestina
2 : 0
Giana Erminio
06 Apr
Pro Patria
1 : 1
Triestina
28 Mar
Triestina
5 : 0
Virtus Verona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vicenza38278369:2689
2Union Brescia381912749:2469
3Renate381713853:3764
4Lecco3818101047:3464
5Trento381615758:4263
6Cittadella381781345:4359
7Lumezzane3814141046:3956
8Alcione Milano3815101335:2855
9Arzignano381581550:4853
10Giana Erminio3814101438:3952
11AlbinoLeffe3813111451:4950
12Inter U233812121440:4148
13Novara38920940:3947
14Pro Vercelli381371839:5546
15Ospitaletto3810151341:4345
16Pergolettese3810111737:5041
17Dolomiti Bellunesi3810101838:6140
18Virtus Verona383161934:6225
19Pro Patria384112334:7023
20Triestina38992045:5912
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)