Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Renate vs Triestina

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Mino Favini, Meda
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Anelli N.
36'
Auriletto S.
46'
Sub
Vicario J. In: D'Urso C.
Out: Vicario J.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Renate and Triestina finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Renate.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Renate
35%
Draws
39%
Triestina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Triestina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Renate carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Renate Clean Sheet 68%
Triestina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renate Triestina
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.57 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Triestina
4:0
Sep 28, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Renate
3:0
Apr 6, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Triestina
0:1
Nov 22, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Renate
0:1
Feb 13, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Renate
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Renate Compare

Top Goalscorer Anelli N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cali M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Triestina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renate 41 / 100
Triestina 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renate Triestina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Renate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Renate scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Triestina conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Renate stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Renate VS Triestina
1.38 Goals Scored 0.71
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Renate

(Home)
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1
Renate
17 Sept
Renate
0 : 0
Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2
Renate
07 Sept
Renate
1 : 2
Novara
03 Sept
Cittadella
4 : 1
Renate
Page 1 of 6

Triestina

(Away)
20 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Bassano Virtus
16 Sept
Campodarsego
2 : 1
Triestina
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Calvi Noale
06 Sept
Altavilla
1 : 1
Triestina
25 Apr
Triestina
1 : 6
Vicenza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)