Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Renate vs Vicenza

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Mino Favini, Meda
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Karlsson O.
45'
Vescovi M.
50' Event
Zonta L.

AI Match Summary

Vicenza in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vicenza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Renate
35%
Draws
46%
Vicenza
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vicenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vicenza lately — more wins on the board than Renate.
  • Win probability leans Renate's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Vicenza have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Renate Clean Sheet 10%
Vicenza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renate Vicenza
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.59 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Vicenza
1:3
Nov 16, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Vicenza vs Renate
1:0
Feb 1, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Vicenza
0:1
Sep 24, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Vicenza vs Renate
1:0
Feb 17, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Vicenza
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Renate Compare

Top Goalscorer Karlsson O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Vicenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Zonta L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stuckler D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renate 34 / 100
Vicenza 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renate Vicenza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Renate found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Vicenza has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Renate went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Renate VS Vicenza
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Renate

(Home)
17 Sept
Renate
0 : 0
Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2
Renate
07 Sept
Renate
1 : 2
Novara
03 Sept
Cittadella
4 : 1
Renate
31 Aug
Renate
0 : 1
Cittadella
Page 1 of 6

Vicenza

(Away)
12 Sept
Vicenza
1 : 1
Juve Stabia
06 Sept
Entella
2 : 2
Vicenza
29 Aug
Avellino
3 : 0
Vicenza
21 Aug
Vicenza
3 : 2
Catanzaro
08 Aug
Vicenza
1 : 2
Catania
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)