Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rende vs Biancavilla

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Mosciaro M.
59'
Tosolini D.
59'
Tosolini D.

AI Match Summary

Rende in this Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rende.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Rende
15%
Draws
0%
Biancavilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rende

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rende lately — more wins on the board than Biancavilla.
  • Win probability leans Rende's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Rende here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Rende Clean Sheet 68%
Biancavilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rende Biancavilla
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 2
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 0.87 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Rende vs Biancavilla
1:0
Dec 5, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Biancavilla vs Rende
0:1
Jun 30, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Rende vs Biancavilla
5:3
Feb 7, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Biancavilla vs Rende
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rende Compare

Top Goalscorer Mosciaro M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Biancavilla Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rende 95 / 100
Biancavilla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rende Biancavilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rende Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Biancavilla let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Biancavilla registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Rende scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Rende VS Biancavilla
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rende

(Home)
29 May
Castrovillari
0 : 0
Rende
22 May
Lamezia Terme
3 : 1
Rende
15 May
Rende
2 : 0
Real Normanna
08 May
Portici 1906
0 : 2
Rende
04 May
Rende
1 : 2
San Luca
Page 1 of 6

Biancavilla

(Away)
22 May
Biancavilla
0 : 3
Castrovillari
08 May
Biancavilla
1 : 4
ASD Giarre
04 May
Santa Maria Cilento
3 : 0
Biancavilla
27 Apr
Biancavilla
0 : 3
Sancataldese
24 Apr
Biancavilla
1 : 2
Troina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gelbison 36 23 9 4 63:23 78
2 Cavese 36 23 8 5 58:21 77
3 AS Acireale 36 19 12 5 58:31 69
4 Lamezia Terme 36 20 9 7 58:35 69
5 S. Agata 36 16 12 8 47:31 60
6 Paterno 36 14 10 12 45:41 52
7 Cittanovese 36 16 4 16 48:56 52
8 Santa Maria Cilento 36 14 9 13 58:50 51
9 Licata 36 13 11 12 57:45 50
10 Real Normanna 36 13 10 13 36:34 49
11 Portici 1906 36 12 8 16 42:44 44
12 Trapani 36 9 14 13 44:47 41
13 San Luca 36 9 14 13 45:52 41
14 Sancataldese 36 11 7 18 34:60 40
15 ASD Giarre 36 9 12 15 33:42 39
16 Castrovillari 36 9 11 16 39:48 38
17 Rende 36 9 9 18 35:50 36
18 Troina 36 9 8 19 39:71 29
19 Biancavilla 36 3 5 28 25:83 14
20 FC Messina 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Out)