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Rende vs Cavese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Kone C.

AI Match Summary

Cavese in this Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cavese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Rende
20%
Draws
29%
Cavese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rende

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Cavese haven't matched Rende's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Rende's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cavese have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 8%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Rende Clean Sheet 68%
Cavese Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rende Cavese
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 8 12
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.9 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Rende vs Cavese
0:1
Sep 19, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Cavese vs Rende
2:0
Feb 26, 2020 Serie C - Group C
Cavese vs Rende
2:1
Oct 13, 2019 Serie C - Group C
Rende vs Cavese
0:1
Mar 24, 2019 Serie C - Group C
Rende vs Cavese
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rende Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Cavese Compare

Top Goalscorer Kone C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rende 95 / 100
Cavese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rende Cavese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rende Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rende scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Cavese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Rende stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cavese
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rende

(Home)
29 May
Castrovillari
0 : 0
Rende
22 May
Lamezia Terme
3 : 1
Rende
15 May
Rende
2 : 0
Real Normanna
08 May
Portici 1906
0 : 2
Rende
04 May
Rende
1 : 2
San Luca
Page 1 of 6

Cavese

(Away)
21 Aug
Bari
3 : 0
Cavese
15 Aug
Campobasso
2 : 0
Cavese
06 Aug
Cavese
0 : 1
Juve Stabia
30 Jul
Cavese
1 : 0
Sarnese
26 Apr
Cavese
1 : 1
Cosenza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gelbison 36 23 9 4 63:23 78
2 Cavese 36 23 8 5 58:21 77
3 AS Acireale 36 19 12 5 58:31 69
4 Lamezia Terme 36 20 9 7 58:35 69
5 S. Agata 36 16 12 8 47:31 60
6 Paterno 36 14 10 12 45:41 52
7 Cittanovese 36 16 4 16 48:56 52
8 Santa Maria Cilento 36 14 9 13 58:50 51
9 Licata 36 13 11 12 57:45 50
10 Real Normanna 36 13 10 13 36:34 49
11 Portici 1906 36 12 8 16 42:44 44
12 Trapani 36 9 14 13 44:47 41
13 San Luca 36 9 14 13 45:52 41
14 Sancataldese 36 11 7 18 34:60 40
15 ASD Giarre 36 9 12 15 33:42 39
16 Castrovillari 36 9 11 16 39:48 38
17 Rende 36 9 9 18 35:50 36
18 Troina 36 9 8 19 39:71 29
19 Biancavilla 36 3 5 28 25:83 14
20 FC Messina 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Out)