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Rende vs Real Normanna

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Furina V.
90' Event
Sidoti R.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 game between Rende and Real Normanna finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rende.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Rende
20%
Draws
40%
Real Normanna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Real Normanna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Rende's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Rende here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 12%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Rende Clean Sheet 68%
Real Normanna Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rende Real Normanna
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 11
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.9 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Rende vs Real Normanna
2:0
Dec 22, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Real Normanna vs Rende
0:1
Mar 5, 2017 Serie D - Group I
Real Normanna vs Rende
1:2
Oct 30, 2016 Serie D - Group I
Rende vs Real Normanna
1:0
Mar 10, 2016 Serie D - Group I
Real Normanna vs Rende
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rende Compare

Top Goalscorer Furina V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sidoti R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Real Normanna Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rende 59 / 100
Real Normanna 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rende Real Normanna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rende Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rende's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Rende has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Real Normanna let in goals in 57% of their last 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Real Normanna
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rende

(Home)
29 May
Castrovillari
0 : 0
Rende
22 May
Lamezia Terme
3 : 1
Rende
15 May
Rende
2 : 0
Real Normanna
08 May
Portici 1906
0 : 2
Rende
04 May
Rende
1 : 2
San Luca
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Real Normanna

(Away)
03 May
Gravina
3 : 2
Real Normanna
26 Apr
Real Normanna
2 : 0
Citta di Fasano
19 Apr
Afragolese
0 : 0
Real Normanna
12 Apr
Martina Calcio
2 : 0
Real Normanna
02 Apr
Real Normanna
1 : 0
Paganese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gelbison 36 23 9 4 63:23 78
2 Cavese 36 23 8 5 58:21 77
3 AS Acireale 36 19 12 5 58:31 69
4 Lamezia Terme 36 20 9 7 58:35 69
5 S. Agata 36 16 12 8 47:31 60
6 Paterno 36 14 10 12 45:41 52
7 Cittanovese 36 16 4 16 48:56 52
8 Santa Maria Cilento 36 14 9 13 58:50 51
9 Licata 36 13 11 12 57:45 50
10 Real Normanna 36 13 10 13 36:34 49
11 Portici 1906 36 12 8 16 42:44 44
12 Trapani 36 9 14 13 44:47 41
13 San Luca 36 9 14 13 45:52 41
14 Sancataldese 36 11 7 18 34:60 40
15 ASD Giarre 36 9 12 15 33:42 39
16 Castrovillari 36 9 11 16 39:48 38
17 Rende 36 9 9 18 35:50 36
18 Troina 36 9 8 19 39:71 29
19 Biancavilla 36 3 5 28 25:83 14
20 FC Messina 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Out)