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Renfrew vs Kilwinning Rangers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
O'Neill D.
Assist: Monti C.
45' Event
Fyfe S.
Assist: Mahon C.
50' Event
Morrison L.
Assist: Love R.

AI Match Summary

Kilwinning Rangers in this Lowland League matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kilwinning Rangers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Renfrew
15%
Draws
49%
Kilwinning Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kilwinning Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kilwinning Rangers lately — more wins on the board than Renfrew.
  • Model gives Kilwinning Rangers a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Renfrew Clean Sheet 10%
Kilwinning Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renfrew Kilwinning Rangers
Matches Played 11 19
Wins 3 11
Draws 1 0
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.91 2.42
Goals Conceded 2.82 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Lowland League
Renfrew vs Kilwinning Rangers
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Renfrew Compare

Top Goalscorer Fyfe S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Kilwinning Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilson R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader O'Neill D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renfrew 14 / 100
Kilwinning Rangers 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renfrew Kilwinning Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kilwinning Rangers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Renfrew scored in 91% of their last 11 games.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Kilwinning Rangers conceded in 79% of 19 recent games.

Renfrew went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Renfrew VS Kilwinning Rangers
1.75 Goals Scored 2.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Renfrew

(Home)
03 Oct
Renfrew
3 : 2
Broxburn Athletic
26 Sept
Johnstone Burgh
3 : 2
Renfrew
23 Sept
Renfrew
3 : 0
Beith
16 Sept
Pollok
1 : 3
Renfrew
29 Aug
Renfrew
1 : 5
Clydebank FC
Page 1 of 3

Kilwinning Rangers

(Away)
03 Oct
Penicuik
3 : 1
Kilwinning Rangers
26 Sept
Troon FC
2 : 4
Kilwinning Rangers
22 Sept
Kilwinning Rangers
3 : 0
Auchinleck Talbot
15 Sept
Albion Rovers
0 : 3
Kilwinning Rangers
12 Sept
Kilwinning Rangers
4 : 0
Celtic B
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 9 8 1 0 18:5 25
2 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
3 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
4 Broxburn Athletic 9 7 1 1 15:8 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 10 5 2 3 25:18 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
14 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
15 Renfrew 10 2 1 7 18:29 7
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)