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Renfrew vs Troon FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Renfrew host Troon FC in the Lowland League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Renfrew at 1.92 goals for, 2.54 against; Troon FC at 2 for, 2 against. Past meetings favor Troon FC slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 19, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (2.19 - 2.06) back Troon FC to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Renfrew
15%
Draws
36%
Troon FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Renfrew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Troon FC come out ahead of Renfrew on wins alone.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Renfrew Clean Sheet 10%
Troon FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renfrew Troon FC
Matches Played 13 15
Wins 5 7
Draws 1 1
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.92 2
Goals Conceded 2.54 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Lowland League
Troon FC vs Renfrew
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renfrew 29 / 100
Troon FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renfrew Troon FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Renfrew Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Renfrew scored in 92% of their last 13 outings.

Troon FC has conceded goals in 93% of their last 15 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Renfrew stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Renfrew VS Troon FC
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Renfrew

(Home)
24 Oct
Renfrew
2 : 1
Stirling
10 Oct
Cumnock Juniors
1 : 2
Renfrew
03 Oct
Renfrew
3 : 2
Broxburn Athletic
26 Sept
Johnstone Burgh
3 : 2
Renfrew
23 Sept
Renfrew
3 : 0
Beith
Page 1 of 3

Troon FC

(Away)
24 Oct
Troon FC
4 : 3
Caledonian Braves
17 Oct
Albion Rovers
1 : 2
Troon FC
03 Oct
Deveronvale
2 : 3
Troon FC
26 Sept
Troon FC
2 : 4
Kilwinning Rangers
23 Sept
Cumnock Juniors
4 : 0
Troon FC
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 11 8 2 1 19:10 26
2 Linlithgow Rose 11 8 1 2 30:12 25
3 Hill Of Beath 11 8 1 2 17:12 25
4 Broxburn Athletic 11 7 3 1 16:9 24
5 Brechin 10 7 1 2 21:13 22
6 Lochee United 11 6 2 3 25:16 20
7 Bonnyrigg Rose 10 6 1 3 25:11 19
8 Civil Service Strollers 11 5 2 4 19:19 17
9 Boness United 11 5 1 5 20:23 16
10 East Stirlingshire 11 3 2 6 17:24 11
11 Cowdenbeath 10 3 1 6 15:17 10
12 Musselburgh 11 2 4 5 10:15 10
13 Gala Fairydean Rovers 11 2 1 8 15:24 7
14 Berwick 11 1 3 7 10:19 6
15 Dunipace 10 1 1 8 7:25 4
16 Stirling University 11 1 0 10 12:29 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 12 10 0 2 39:15 30
2 Pollok 11 8 2 1 29:14 26
3 Clydebank FC 10 7 2 1 34:18 23
4 Largs Thistle 12 7 2 3 16:13 23
5 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
6 Caledonian Braves 11 7 1 3 32:21 22
7 Johnstone Burgh 11 5 4 2 24:18 19
8 Celtic B 11 5 2 4 28:20 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 11 5 2 4 26:20 17
10 Troon FC 12 5 0 7 22:24 15
11 Cumbernauld Colts 11 3 4 4 25:25 13
12 Gretna 2008 12 3 2 7 27:35 11
13 Renfrew 11 3 1 7 20:30 10
14 Beith 12 2 3 7 14:30 9
15 Albion Rovers 11 2 2 7 11:23 8
16 Newton Stewart 10 1 1 8 11:42 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 11 0 1 10 6:39 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)