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Rennes vs Le Mans

France France

Ligue 1 Roazhon Park
Sun, Aug 30, 2026
VS
03:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rennes host Le Mans in the Ligue 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Le Mans have shipped 0.63 goals a game lately, while Rennes have conceded 1.63 and scored 2. Head-to-head, Rennes have won 2 to Le Mans's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 26, 2011, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.63, favoring Le Mans. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Rennes
28%
Draws
50%
Le Mans
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Le Mans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rennes come out ahead of Le Mans on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Le Mans's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Rennes Clean Sheet 14%
Le Mans Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rennes Le Mans
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 17 16
Draws 4 9
Losses 9 2
Goals Scored 2 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2011 Coupe de la Ligue
Le Mans vs Rennes
1:0
Mar 28, 2010 Ligue 1
Le Mans vs Rennes
1:3
Nov 21, 2009 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Le Mans
2:1
Mar 14, 2009 Ligue 1
Le Mans vs Rennes
2:2
Oct 25, 2008 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Le Mans
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rennes 23 / 100
Le Mans 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rennes Le Mans

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rennes found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Le Mans let in goals in 52% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Rennes stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rennes VS Le Mans
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auxerre00000:00
2Le Havre00000:00
3Le Mans00000:00
4Lille00000:00
5Lorient00000:00
6Monaco00000:00
7Nice00000:00
8PSG00000:00
9Strasbourg00000:00
10Angers00000:00
11Brest00000:00
12Troyes00000:00
13Paris FC00000:00
14Marseille00000:00
15Toulouse00000:00
16Lens00000:00
17Rennes00000:00
18Lyon00000:00