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Stadium Background

Rennes vs Guingamp

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Soumare I.
18' Event
Kielt S.
25' Event
Lepaul E.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Rennes and Guingamp finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rennes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Rennes
35%
Draws
27%
Guingamp
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rennes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Rennes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Rennes taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Rennes Clean Sheet 11%
Guingamp Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rennes Guingamp
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.72 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Rennes vs Guingamp
3:1
Jul 31, 2024 Club Friendly
Guingamp vs Rennes
3:0
Jan 7, 2024 Coupe de France
Guingamp vs Rennes
0:2
May 12, 2019 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Guingamp
1:1
Jan 16, 2019 Ligue 1
Guingamp vs Rennes
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rennes Compare

Top Goalscorer Soumare I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lepaul E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Guingamp Compare

Top Goalscorer Kielt S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rennes 38 / 100
Guingamp 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rennes Guingamp

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rennes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rennes scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Rennes has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Guingamp conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Rennes VS Guingamp
2 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rennes

(Home)
16 Sept
Sturm Graz
0 : 0
Rennes
11 Sept
Rennes
1 : 0
Marseille
06 Sept
Angers
1 : 2
Rennes
30 Aug
Rennes
3 : 2
Le Mans
23 Aug
Rennes
2 : 2
PSG
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Guingamp

(Away)
12 Sept
Guingamp
2 : 1
Annecy
05 Sept
Reims
2 : 2
Guingamp
29 Aug
Guingamp
3 : 3
Nantes
21 Aug
Sochaux
1 : 0
Guingamp
14 Aug
Guingamp
1 : 0
Boulogne
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