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Stadium Background

Rennes vs Metz

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Roazhon Park, Rennes
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Toure A.
33'
Rouault A.
67'
Sub
Szymanski S. In: Cisse D.
Out: Szymanski S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Rennes
6%
Draws
90%
Metz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Metz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rennes lately — more wins on the board than Metz.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Metz taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Rennes here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Rennes Clean Sheet 13%
Metz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rennes Metz
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 6
Draws 2 8
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.57 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.71 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.57 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.71 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Metz
0:0
Nov 28, 2025 Ligue 1
Metz vs Rennes
0:1
May 4, 2024 Ligue 1
Metz vs Rennes
2:3
Aug 13, 2023 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Metz
5:1
Mar 20, 2022 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Metz
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rennes 10 / 100
Metz 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rennes Metz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rennes found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Metz let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Rennes stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rennes VS Metz
1.57 Goals Scored 1.63
1.71 Goals Conceded 2
86% Over 1.5 88%
86% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rennes

(Home)
25 Jul
Rennes
2 : 1
Club Brugge
17 Jul
Rennes
3 : 1
Guingamp
09 Jul
Rennes
1 : 2
Caen
17 May
Marseille
3 : 1
Rennes
10 May
Rennes
2 : 1
Paris FC
Page 1 of 6

Metz

(Away)
25 Jul
Metz
3 : 1
Sittard
22 Jul
Metz
4 : 1
Sochaux
17 Jul
Metz
6 : 0
RFC Seraing
11 Jul
Metz
2 : 1
Racing Luxembourg
11 Jul
Metz
1 : 1
Versailles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSG34244674:2976
2Lens34224866:3570
3Lille34187952:3761
4Lyon341861053:4060
5Marseille341851163:4559
6Rennes34178959:5059
7Monaco341661260:5454
8Strasbourg341581158:4753
9Toulouse341291347:4645
10Lorient3411121148:5145
11Paris FC3411111247:5044
12Brest341091543:5539
13Angers34991629:4836
14Le Havre347141332:4435
15Auxerre348101634:4434
16Nice347111637:6032
17Nantes34592029:5224
18Metz34382332:7617
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)