Sport Picks
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
Japan
J2/J3 League Ishin Me-Life Stadium, Yamaguchi 
Match Events
54'
54'
Narasaka T.
57'
57'
Okano R.
Assist: Hirahara R.
58'
58'
Sub
Nagai R. In: Watanabe S.
Out: Nagai R.
AI Match Summary
The J2/J3 League game between Renofa Yamaguchi and Giravanz Kitakyushu finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Giravanz Kitakyushu.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Renofa Yamaguchi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Renofa Yamaguchi come out ahead of Giravanz Kitakyushu on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Renofa Yamaguchi's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Renofa Yamaguchi Clean Sheet 68%
Giravanz Kitakyushu Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Renofa Yamaguchi | Giravanz Kitakyushu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 13 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 2.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 J2/J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Renofa Yamaguchi
2:3
Mar 22, 2026 J2/J3 League
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
0:1
Sep 7, 2025 Club Friendly
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
3:1
Nov 13, 2021 J2 League
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
0:1
Apr 21, 2021 J2 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Renofa Yamaguchi
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Renofa Yamaguchi Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Giravanz Kitakyushu Compare
Top Goalscorer Okano R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Renofa Yamaguchi 95 / 100
Giravanz Kitakyushu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Renofa Yamaguchi Giravanz Kitakyushu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick REN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Giravanz Kitakyushu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
Renofa Yamaguchi scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Giravanz Kitakyushu's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Renofa Yamaguchi VS Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Renofa Yamaguchi
(Home) 06 Jun
Yokohama FC
2 : 1 Renofa Yamaguchi
30 May
Kochi United
2 : 3 Renofa Yamaguchi
23 May
Renofa Yamaguchi
1 : 2 Kumamoto
16 May
Sagan Tosu
1 : 2 Renofa Yamaguchi
09 May
Renofa Yamaguchi
0 : 1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Renofa Yamaguchi
1 : 2 Kumamoto
09 May
Renofa Yamaguchi
0 : 1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
29 Apr
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0 Ryukyu
18 Apr
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 1 Kagoshima United
29 Mar
Renofa Yamaguchi
3 : 1 Oita Trinita
Page 1 of 3
Giravanz Kitakyushu
(Away) 18 Jul
Yokohama FC
3 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
11 Jul
Avispa Fukuoka
1 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
07 Jun
Tochigi SC
2 : 1 Giravanz Kitakyushu
31 May
Kamatamare Sanuki
3 : 1 Giravanz Kitakyushu
24 May
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 5 Kagoshima United
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Yokohama FC
3 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
11 Jul
Avispa Fukuoka
1 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
07 Jun
Tochigi SC
2 : 1 Giravanz Kitakyushu
31 May
Kamatamare Sanuki
3 : 1 Giravanz Kitakyushu
17 May
Reilac Shiga
1 : 0 Giravanz Kitakyushu
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 18 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 37:15 | 43 |
| 2 | Blaublitz | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 23:16 | 35 |
| 3 | Shonan Bellmare | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 28:20 | 31 |
| 4 | Yokohama FC | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 36:28 | 29 |
| 5 | SC Sagamihara | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 33:36 | 28 |
| 6 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 27:39 | 23 |
| 7 | Montedio Yamagata | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:25 | 22 |
| 8 | Tochigi City | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22:35 | 21 |
| 9 | Vanraure | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 16:23 | 18 |
| 10 | Tochigi SC | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 24:31 | 17 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kofu | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 20:12 | 33 |
| 2 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 28:22 | 31 |
| 3 | Iwaki | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 26:20 | 31 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 39:29 | 30 |
| 5 | Fujieda MYFC | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 24:23 | 30 |
| 6 | Gifu | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 23:25 | 27 |
| 7 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 33:25 | 26 |
| 8 | Iwata | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 20:25 | 25 |
| 9 | Fukushima United | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 30:43 | 18 |
| 10 | Nagano Parceiro | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:36 | 16 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toyama | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 40:26 | 38 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 24:19 | 35 |
| 3 | Tokushima | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 38:23 | 32 |
| 4 | Kochi United | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 25:23 | 30 |
| 5 | Ehime | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 26:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Kanazawa | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 20:23 | 27 |
| 7 | Nara Club | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 27:36 | 21 |
| 8 | FC Osaka | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 18:23 | 20 |
| 9 | Imabari | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 15:21 | 20 |
| 10 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 15:34 | 19 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 35:13 | 47 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 27:16 | 33 |
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26:18 | 32 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 27:24 | 29 |
| 5 | Kumamoto | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 21:21 | 27 |
| 6 | Gainare Tottori | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 24:25 | 27 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 19:20 | 22 |
| 8 | Reilac Shiga | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 16:29 | 21 |
| 9 | Ryukyu | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 17:28 | 17 |
| 10 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 18 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 17:35 | 15 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)