Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Ishin Me-Life Stadium

Kagoshima United

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Renofa Yamaguchi play Kagoshima United in the J2/J3 League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Renofa Yamaguchi averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Kagoshima United averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Renofa Yamaguchi won 3, Kagoshima United won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Renofa Yamaguchi and 1.38 for Kagoshima United. This points to a Kagoshima United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Renofa Yamaguchi

15%

Draws

43%

Kagoshima United

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kagoshima United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Renofa Yamaguchi picked up more points recently compared to Kagoshima United.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Renofa Yamaguchi Clean Sheet 17%

Kagoshima United Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 57%

Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Renofa Yamaguchi	Kagoshima United
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	15	17
Draws	2	3
Losses	13	10
Goals Scored	1.4	1.43
Goals Conceded	1.3	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 J2/J3 League

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United

Possession: 50% - 60% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Feb 22, 2026 J2/J3 League

Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi

Possession: 57% - 47% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

Jul 6, 2024 J2 League

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United

Possession: 43% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Apr 28, 2024 J2 League

Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi

Possession: 48% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Oct 20, 2019 J2 League

Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi

Possession: 45% - 45% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Renofa Yamaguchi Compare

Top Goalscorer Furukawa D.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Kagoshima United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renofa Yamaguchi 41 / 100

Kagoshima United 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Renofa Yamaguchi Kagoshima United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kagoshima United or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Renofa Yamaguchi attacking → ← attacking Kagoshima United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Renofa Yamaguchi scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Kagoshima United let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Renofa Yamaguchi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kagoshima United lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 54

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15